Tuesday, October 1, 2013

Current Events - October 1, 2013


 TheBlaze wants to hear your shutdown stories!

Welcome to the non-government shutdown

Last night, after the House of Representatives passed its latest continuing resolution, this time funding the federal government through November 15th while also delaying the individual mandate for a year and cutting Obamacare subsidies for congressional staff, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., announced he would not name any conferees to negotiate a short-term funding bill.

Minutes later, President Obama's budget director Sylvia Matthews Burwell, directed all federal agencies to implement their govenrment shutdown plans. But that doesn't mean all, let alone much, of the federal government will actually shutdown.

First of all, late Monday night, Obama signed a bill exempting all military pay, and even some pay for Defense civilians and contractors, from the government shutdown.

Second, Obama and the Democrats wisely stashed away over $1 billion in various Department of Health and Human Services slush funds to keep Obamacare implementation running uninterrupted. So despite the fact that 52 percent of HHS employees will be furloughed, the shutdown will not touch Obamacare.

Also, federal airport security personnel will all report to work under the shutdown, as will every federal employee who secures our borders. FBI agents will also report to work, although no new agents will be trained, and the Department of Justice will continue criminal cases but not civil ones.

Federal parks will be closed, the National Zoo's panda cam will be turned off, and NASA will be shutdown almost entirely, but the mail will still be delivered on time, federal prisoners will still be imprisoned, and most Head Start and food assistance programs will continue as scheduled.

Outside of Washington DC, very few Americans will even notice the "shutdown" is going on.

The story is quite different when it comes to the impending cash crunch at the Treasury Department due to the debt limit.

According to both the Congressional Budget Office and the Bipartisan Policy Center, the Treasury Department will only have $30 billion cash on hand to pay the federal governments financial obligations as of October 17.

Then, on October 23, Treasury is scheduled to make a $12 billion payment to Social Security beneficiaries followed by a $6 billion interest payment to bond holders on October 31. That should leave Treasury with around $12 billion.

But then on November 1, Treasury must $18 billion to Medicare providers and another $25 billion to Social Security beneficiaries.

That is when the real pain kicks in.

Sometime before November 1st the debt limit will be raised, the government will be funded for another fiscal year, and Republicans will extract some concession from Obama on Obamacare.

http://townhall.com/tipsheet/conncarroll/2013/10/01/welcome-to-the-nongovernment-shutdown-n1714148 

What You’re Missing Today

The TV news has wall-to-wall coverage of what is affected by the shutdown of the federal government, but it’s far from comprehensive. Here are just a few of the federal agencies whose services we’ll have to manage without until Congress acts:

Broadcasting Board of Governors
Chief Human Capital Officers Council
Citizens’ Stamp Advisory Committee
Foreign Agricultural Service
* Office of Fossil Energy
* Healthy Homes and Lead Hazard Control Office
Indian Arts and Crafts Board
* Interagency Alternative Dispute Resolution Working Group
* Joint Board for the Enrollment of Actuaries
* Joint Congressional Committee on Inaugural Ceremonies
Marine Mammal Commission
* Office of Refugee Resettlement
* Office of the Pardon Attorney
* Railroad Retirement Board
* Saint Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation
* Tax Court
U.S. Arctic Research Commission
U.S. Board on Geographic Names
Weights and Measures Division
And a bit of good news amid the gloom: it appears the government will hang on to the Federal Helium Reserve a little while longer.

http://hotair.com/archives/2013/10/01/what-youre-missing-today/


View image on Twitter

Obama: "I Shouldn't Have to Offer Anything"

We have come a long way from the days when Candidate Obama promises to be the leading light of capital bipartisanship.

Can't get the video to post, but here it is, in all its pathetic splendor.

When did childish petulance become an acceptable substitute for leadership?

http://townhall.com/tipsheet/carolplattliebau/2013/09/30/obama-i-shouldnt-have-to-offer-anything-n1713775

"I Shouldn't Have To Offer Anything": The GOP's Secret Weapons --President Obama, Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi

 The memorable line from Monday's debate about Obamacare?

The president's astonishing declaration that "I shouldn't have to offer anything." Thus did the American public get a very candid glimpse of the president whose contempt for duly elected Republican opponents is exceeded only by his fecklessness in the face of America's enemies abroad. To Putin and the Iranians come offers of all sorts. To the Speaker of the House, only ultimatums.

Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi also had spectacularly bad days for anyone who was watching. Some pundits don't think Harry's gracelessness and Nancy's strident incoherence don't matter, but they are wrong. Americans notice everything, even if they say very little. They are consumers, making up their minds over time.

We forget just how lousy the Big Three Ds are when it comes to communicating, and today's series of pratfalls should remind every Republican why there is great hope for winning the public opinion battle decisively in the days and weeks ahead, and ultimately for 2014.

As I explained over and over on Monday's show, this week's drama over the shutdown is just one chapter in a book titled "November, 2014." We won't know for a long time if the chapter will be pivotal to the end of the story, but we do know that the chapter's title --"I shouldn't have to offer anything"-- is a great ROI for the first day's effort. The president's stunning display of arrogance in his NPR interview is certain to repeat itself again and again if the House GOP holds the line against the combined forces of the Manhattan-Beltway media elite and a handful of GOP pundits who have talked themselves into believing that all the polls about Obamcare will somehow be magically reversed because 4,000 workers at the Occupational Safety and Health Administration don't report for work Tuesday.

I have long been an opponent of a purposeful shutdown strategy and have been predicting for weeks that this is what the president wanted, especially after the Syrian fiasco exposed him as a bumbler abroad as well as at home. Everything he has touched this year has turned to mud, and his hopes for retaking the House in 2014 are all but gone. Many Republicans including me didn't want any strategy that risked losing the political momentum that the president's ineptitude has created.

But Senator Ted Cruz's speech last week turned my view around. He made a very good argument --not perfect, but very, very good-- and the electric reaction to it, pro and con,underscored that Cruz had done the rarest of things: Captured America's attention. That collective attention is so hard to capture that it usually takes a Super Bowl or an Olympics Opening Ceremony, and only presidential debates or election night specials come close to being mega-events in the political category.

You want mega-events when you have an argument to make, and especially when your debate opponent is as inept as the president is. Today Congressman Tom Cotton of Arkansas and a candidate for that state's Senate seat next year appeared on my show three times with updates on the events in the House, and all three times the calls and emails confirmed that he was making points the audience wanted to hear made. Cotton was rallying opinion. He was carrying on the fight the listeners wanted, and this is a great and necessary thing in a country that needs vibrant political parties, not collections of drones doing the bidding of Beltway elites. The Beltway party should follow the wishes of the rank-and-file and if there is one thing that the commentariat can agree on it is that conservative activists want this fight. That may change, but it hasn't changed yet. The Speaker should persist, and he and his team should continue to listen. It is very easy to see political costs inflicted on the GOPers that break ranks, especially if that choice is perceived as having been made to appease opinion elites.

I am not happy with the decision of the House leadership not to send the Senate "single-subject" CRs since it makes the messaging and record-building harder to accomplish. I would love to see a single subject CR on the Medical Device Tax, for example, as a Senate vote to table that would make it impossible for Senate Democrats who claimed to be against the tax in a non-binding vote in the spring to avoid the flip flop charge if they voted against repeal now. When the tax repeal vote is combined with a delay vote, however, an out is given those same Senate Democrats that will surface in 12 months. So much of this week's events is about a year from now that my lens is adjusted for that time span. Some folks care about next week's polling. I care about next year's, and single subject CRs would help. Perhaps the House leadership will unveil them Tuesday.

However the tactics unfold, the strategy of indelibly defining both the GOP and the Democrats for 2014 must be front and center. Some very smart people like the Washington Post's Jen Rubin think this series of events is defining the GOP negatively. Perhaps she is right and the GOP is deeply injuring itself. I confess I thought the same of the Panama Canal fight in 1978 when I was just leaving college. Then-candidate Ronald Reagan knew better. He was building a movement by being right on an issue at the same time as being visible on an issue. That battle from 35 years ago is a very good example to keep in mind this week, especially when the GOPers genuinely concerned about hurting the chances of retaining the majority in 2014 set sail to their fears.

What is unfortunate about this debate is that the GOP critics of having it feel there is mileage in attacking GOPrs with whom they disagree, often in intensely personal terms. As I noted in a tweet early in the day, if breaking the 11th Commandment required going to Confession, the line would be long indeed. But it doesn't, and indeed there is some small award in some small attention being paid to the uber-critics of Cruz et al.
This will be short-lived satisfaction. Attacking the people attacking Obamacare with everything the various pundits have got is not good politics. It is certainly not statesmanlike. Sticking with the Party is what is necessary now, the same message I will deliver to anyone disappointed with the end game. You only get one quarterback at a time. If they don't win, you can change the QB. There is no upside in turning on him mid-game.

The QB right now is John Boehner. He gave a very good speech on the floor in the early evening on Monday. Good for him. Many others made excellent remarks. Good for them as well. Many folks think the GOP is behind in the debate and in the overall chain of events, but like John Kerry's "I was for the war before I was against it" pratfall, the key moments in this very important debate won't be clear for a long time, though the president's "I shouldn't have to offer anything" homage to absolutism is certain to be among them.

The president, Harry and Nancy are hanging themselves as we speak, nailing their colors to the mast of Obamacare. Let the government stay shuttered for a week and that message sink in. Only good will come of it. But if the House GOP breaks and runs, well, there will be Hell to pay.

http://townhall.com/columnists/hughhewitt/2013/10/01/i-shouldnt-have-to-offer-anything-the-gops-secret-weapons-president-obama-harry-reid-and-nancy-pelosi-n1714041/page/full


Michael Ramirez

Extremely Extreme Extremists

 Liberal “shutdown” rhetoric ignores the irresponsibility of Democrats.

Democrats and their media allies have spent the past week labeling Republicans “anarchists,” “fanatics,” “radicals,” and “terrorists” who are wholly to blame for the situation that we are told will soon lead to a government shutdown. And if all you know about this situation is what you get from the media, you might actually believe that this is a crisis created by Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and his fellow conservatives who sought to use the vote on a short-term spending bill as a means of preventing implementation of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), otherwise known as Obamacare.

Here’s a simple question: Why are we currently funding the federal government through a series of short-term measures known as “continuing resolutions”?

The answer is that the budgeting process has completely broken down in recent years, and the two men most responsible for that breakdown are President Obama and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. For three consecutive years — 2010, 2011, and 2012 — the Democrat-controlled Senate did not pass a budget bill because Reid knew that it would be a political liability to do so. Passing a budget that detailed the Democrats’ plans for spending and revenue as official policy would have exposed the “something for nothing” swindle that Reid and his colleagues are perpetrating on the American people. Republican challengers campaigning against Democrat senators could have cited their votes for the budget bill, saying that the incumbent voted for this, that, or the other unpopular component of the measure.

Reid and the Democrats knew this. They knew very well that the federal deficit was spiraling out of control, that there was not enough tax revenue to pay the mushrooming cost of entitlement programs (Medicare, Medicaid, food stamps, unemployment, et cetera), and certainly there wasn’t enough revenue to pay for all the boondoggles and giveaways the Democrats voted for in the name of “stimulus.” Adding to this, there was not enough revenue to pay the cost of Obamacare, which Democrats rammed through Congress in March 2010 on a party-line vote. Passing an actual budget would have made clear the unsustainable fiscal nightmare into which Democrat policies have plunged the nation during the Obama Age, and so Harry Reid simply didn’t pass a budget for three years.

Inevitably, there will be serious fiscal and economic consequences for what has been done in Washington since 2009. Democrats, however, cared less about such real-world matters than they did about the short-term political gain to be had by promoting the pleasant fiction that liberal “generosity” with taxpayer money (including trillions of dollars in deficit spending) had no real cost. The political project of electing and re-electing Democrats required this exercise in fiscal unreality, and so began Reid’s policy of avoiding the painful choices inherent in the budget process. As a direct result of Reid’s irresponsible policy, Americans are now faced with what is being described by many in the media as a “budget” battle, but is in fact about the short-term alternative to an actual budget, a continuing resolution which would authorize the government to keep spending more money than it has, by borrowing billions of dollars it has no feasible plan to repay.

You wouldn’t know any of this from media coverage of what is being portrayed as a Republican-induced crisis for which conservatives like Ted Cruz are to blame. Contrasting this misleading coverage against the actual facts of the situation, we might imagine Barack Obama and Harry Reid are sitting in the newsrooms of America’s newspapers and TV networks, dictating the story line to reporters and commentators. No such dictation is necessary, however, because our nation’s news organizations are overwhelmingly staffed by partisan Democrats. Readers will please excuse a slight digression here. As Rush Limbaugh has often remarked, media bias is so pervasive that if all he wanted to do was to complain about it, he could fill the airwaves 15 hours a week with nothing else. Yet the current showdown in Washington is a perfect example of how harmful this bias is.

If America’s journalists had ever told the truth about what Barack Obama and Harry Reid have done, neither of them would be in office now. Only a fool would claim that electing Mitt Romney to the White House and putting Mitch McConnell in charge of the Senate would have magically solved the federal government’s fiscal problems. A $17 trillion national debt is not amenable to quick fixes. However, the defeat of Obama and Reid would have ended the pathetic political charade that is now being played out in Washington, where the Democrats are depicted as the voices of responsible leadership, while Cruz and other conservative foes of Obamacare are excoriated as reckless demagogues. This false portrayal of the current situation is the exact opposite of truth, but it is widely believed because the journalists who did so much to re-elect Obama (and to defend Reid’s Democrat Senate majority) have continued to act as partisan propagandists. Often, the prevailing prejudices of the press corps are described as “liberal bias”; explaining this as a matter of ideology or philosophy, however, is unnecessary to describing the basic political allegiance of news industry personnel to the Democrat Party. Every study of the voting habits of American journalists shows an overwhelming preference for Democrats. The Media Research Center has compiled an exhaustive collection of such studies, some showing that reporters are eight times more likely to vote for Democrats than for Republicans.

This disproportionate partisan tilt has significant consequences, including the bizarre unreality of how conflicts between Republicans and Democrats are portrayed. Democrats, having come to expect favorable treatment from the media, are permitted to act and speak irresponsibly, knowing that they will be depicted as heroes in the media narrative, while their Republican opponents will be depicted as villains, merely for being Republicans. (The only “good” Republicans, of course, are those who echo liberal denunciations of such conservatives as Cruz.) It is only within this warped funhouse-mirror view that anyone could believe the things Democrats have been saying in the current crisis, much less take them seriously.

“We’re not going to bow to tea party anarchists who deny the mere fact that Obamacare is the law,” Harry Reid said last week. “We will not bow to tea party anarchists who refuse to accept that the Supreme Court ruled that Obamacare is constitutional…. Obamacare is the law of the land and will remain the law of the land as long as Barack Obama is president of the United States and as long as I’m Senate majority leader.” Never mind, of course, exactly how Obamacare became law. Never mind Nancy Pelosi’s memorable claim that Congress would “have to pass the bill so you can find out what is in it.” Never mind the 34 House Democrats who joined Republicans in voting against it. Never mind how, in the mid-term elections eight months after that vote, Republicans won a historic landslide, gaining 63 House seats to obtain a majority even larger than Newt Gingrich won in 1994.

The history of Obamacare must be forgotten in order to suppose that Reid’s defense of this controversial and unpopular measure is more reasonable than the opposition of the Republican conservatives whom Reid labeled “tea party anarchists.” Of course, when it comes to real anarchists like the deranged mob that emerged two years ago as the “Occupy Wall Street” movement, Democrats were far more understanding. The media didn’t point that out to Harry Reid, however, nor did anyone in the press corps seem to note the irony when White House senior adviser Dan Pfeiffer compared Republicans to terrorists: “What we’re not for is negotiating with people with a bomb strapped to their chest.” You can insert your favorite Bill Ayers joke here, but the president’s avowed refusal to negotiate with his domestic opponents could also be contrasted with his foreign policy, as I remarked on Twitter: “Maybe if the Republican Party would change its name to ‘Iran,’ Obama would be willing to negotiate with them.”

John Boehner and Mitch McConnell don’t have a secret nuclear weapons program, nor are conservatives “anarchists,” and this week’s elaborate government shutdown drama is an exercise in political kabuki theater, made possible only because Democrats know that the media won’t inform the electorate what this is really all about. Instead, the media echo and amplify Democrats who blame the crisis on “extremists” in the GOP, distracting from Democrat Party failures that are the actual cause of the crisis. The federal government is $17 trillion in debt, and every day must borrow nearly $2 billion more just to keep going. Barack Obama has offered no detailed plan to fix that problem, and neither have Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi, or anyone else in the Democrat party. So in order to continue their fiscal irresponsibility, Democrats demand that Congress pass a short-term spending measure — without any GOP additions that would hinder implementation of Obamacare — and expect their allies in the press corps to assist them in misrepresenting this situation as entirely the fault of Republicans.

People who unquestioningly accept the media’s pro-Democrat propaganda are “mainstream.” And people who insist on telling the truth are extremely extreme extremists.
http://spectator.org/archives/2013/09/30/extremely-extreme-extremists

If 900,000 federal workers can be furloughed as 'non-essential,' why employ them?

So far, so good.

Just checked the backyard. No pieces of fallen sky yet. Hours into the partial federal government shutdown and it's difficult to tell there is one. Save for the humorous desperation of TV folks trying to find something, anything that could be labeled calamity and blamed on those political toads in D.C..

So far, the great partial government shutdown of 2013 looks like a full bust. Like that Y2K apocalypse that didn't happen. Or President Obama's dire sequester warnings that went Poof!

This faux crisis really has little to do with spending. Or even the train wreck called ObamaCare, which continues today too.

It has to do with Obama trying to thwart history and win the 2014 midterm elections 13 months from now. And that non-strategy is based on him keeping most Americans fighting with each other so much that they don't notice the only thing that this "president" is doing is talking. Talk. Talk. Talk. Talk. Talk. "Please be seated." "I love you back." "I am absolutely confident that..."

Talk himself into trouble on Syria. Talk himself into trouble on attacking Syria. Talk himself into trouble on ObamaCare. Talk himself into trouble on the deficit. According to this guy, the country's budget deficits are falling faster than in decades. Of course, after four unprecedented years of $1 trillion-plus deficits, they can't go much higher and have farther to fall.

And he's mute on the national debt. Treasury Secy. Jack Lew warns the country will run out of money later this month. Actually, that's another lie. The country ran out of money $17 trillion ago. It's all borrowed since then, much of it by this administration.

Obama is off on another expensive Asian trip in a few days. That's how much of a "crisis" this fiscal year showdown is. Not that it might matter. Obama, who has been negotiating with Russia and Iran of all places, has refused to negotiate with the U.S. Congress like the true leader he isn't. Instead of pulling people together as he promised in 2007-08, Obama went golfing last weekend.

And most of the media covers for him. Remember how Obama's two most recent Defense secretaries -- Panetta and Gates -- lambasted him just the other day for showing weakness to the world and having no strategy on Syria?

You probably don't remember, unless you read it here at Investors.com. The MSM decided that wasn't newsworthy. Think the decision to ignore would have been the same if the president was George W. Bush?
Diplomacy and military action not so much. But Obama's always got a political strategy. He's counting on that tacit media support continuing, as Brit Hume so precisely detailed Monday.
  American voters opted in 2010 for a divided government.

They put the House strongly in Republican hands, left the Senate barely in Democrat hands and then last year re-elected Mrs. Robinson's son-in-law by about seven million fewer votes than the first time.

They've also turned over governing of 30 states to Republicans where, it seems, the economy and jobs are now growing the fastest.

What a coincidence!

According to historical patterns, next year those same voters will send a few more Republicans to the House and the Senate, which could make Happy Harry Reid a former majority leader. And Obama will still be promising that creating new middle-class jobs is his top priority.

Unless Obama can pin the blame on the GOP or, as he's now re-packaged it, an extreme far-right faction of the GOP. This is the radical GOP that wants to cancel the special exemption from ObamaCare for all of Congress and the White House.

A new Gallup Poll released this morning indicates Obama may place too much store in a shutdown backlash. The study shows there's no long-term impact on voters' views of the U.S. or a shutdown's protagonists.

But there's another serious problem for the Chicagoan. What if an intransigent Obama forced a partial government shutdown, the 18th in recent decades? And what people noticed was that things actually seemed to run pretty well with nearly 900,000 "non-essential" federal workers furloughed from Obama's bloated workforce of 2.2 million?

Why should American taxpayers pay for any non-essential workers?

If we can do without nearly 900,000 "non-essential" personnel today with all their costly benefits and accruing pensions, why not tomorrow? And next week? And next year? Which is the smaller government argument that so many conservatives will make in advance of Nov. 4, 2014.

Now just 399 days away.

From Michele Bachmann, a persuasive case for why many Republicans don’t fear a shutdown

Why have House Republicans pursued their effort to defund, and now to delay, Obamacare so relentlessly, even though they have almost zero chance of success in the face of a rapidly-approaching deadline for shutting down the government? And why have they done so when many in their party have warned that a shutdown would be suicidal for the GOP?

I talked with one of the most vocal of the defund/delay advocates, Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann, on Friday night, as she waited to hear what path the House Republican leadership would take. It’s safe to say her views reflected those of many of her conservative colleagues, and her reasoning was this: One, Obamacare as a policy is so far-reaching, so consequential, and so damaging that members of Congress should do everything they can — everything — to stop it before it fully goes into effect. Two, lesser measures to fight Obamacare — repealing the medical device tax or making Congress purchase coverage through the exchanges without special subsidies — are just not big enough to address the problem. And three, there have been government shutdowns in the past over far less urgent reasons that did not result in doom for Republicans.

“There is a very large group of us who believe that this is it, this isn’t just another year, this isn’t just another CR fight,” Bachmann told me. “This is historic, and it’s a historic shift that’s about to happen, and if we’re going to fight, we need to fight now.”

“This isn’t just another bill,” Bachmann continued. “This isn’t load limits on turnip trucks that we’re talking about. This is consequential. And I think the reason why you’ve come to this flash point is that this is an extremely consequential bill that will impact every American, and that’s why you have such passionate opinions. And we’re not giving up and we’re not caving in that easily.”

For Bachmann and many of her colleagues, the enormity of the issue serves to highlight the problem with less extensive anti-Obamacare measures. “The Vitter Amendment isn’t going to help real people,” Bachmann told me. “It’s going to be a political move, but it’s not going to help real people. Obamacare will continue to destroy the economy. Now, repealing the medical device tax does help the economy. Here in the Beltway, we get the medical device tax issue. And in my state of Minnesota, we get the medical device tax issue. That’s our industry. And I’m all for [repealing] it, but for most Americans, that is not something that they see that they want to get.”

And what about delaying just the individual mandate for a year, as opposed to all of Obamacare? “That’s worthless,” Bachmann said.

Bachmann pointed to a recent Washington Post article which included a long list of government shutdowns in the last 35 years. “We were there 17 times,” she said. “Five times under Jimmy Carter they did a government shutdown. Eight times under Reagan — twice in October before the 1984 landslide. And they didn’t worry about it, they just did it.”

“I was looking at some of the history,” Bachmann continued. “When the Republicans did the slowdown in ’95, they did two, one in November and then one in December. What they were fighting over, the first one, was getting the budget to balance in seven years. And the second one was over Bill Clinton trying to do a sleight of hand — he wanted to use Office of Management and Budget numbers versus Congressional Budget Office numbers. So the Republicans shut the joint down over using OMB numbers over the CBO. My, how times have changed. We’re considered radical to have a ten-year balance under Paul Ryan. We’re going to shut the government down under OMB versus CBO ? That’s what they did then. Now, in my opinion, I don’t think I’d be shutting the government down over that.”

But even then, House Republicans did not suffer terrible consequences, as Bachmann and others point out. After the shutdowns, the GOP was re-elected to control of the House in 1996, 1998, 2000, 2002, and 2004 before losing in 2006.

So Bachmann, and many other Republicans, remain unafraid as the clock ticks down. “I don’t get upset about brinksmanship,” she told me. “That’s what negotiation is. I was a federal tax lawyer. That’s all I did — negotiation. And in negotiation, you usually don’t get anywhere until the final five minutes, and then everybody realizes OK, we’re going to have to break and actually make this thing happen. That’s how negotiation works.”

http://www.humanevents.com/2013/09/30/from-michele-bachmann-a-persuasive-case-for-why-many-republicans-dont-fear-a-shutdown/ 

Krauthammer: This shutdown is pretty much a lifeline for a drowning administration

Krauthammer had some solid points on O’Reilly last night concerning the question of whether or not a government shutdown is actually helpful or hurtful to the Obama administration’s overall image as well as to their grand opening of the health care law; President Obama’s second term has not been going particularly well by any means, and the shutdown gives him something very tangible with which he can easily revert to the ol’ reliable “spiteful, obstructionist, uncompromising Republicans” tack that’s worked so well in the past. 
Plus, as an added bonus, the “supine media” will largely follow the White House’s lead in depicting the whole episode as as purely the fault of Republicans (because, as we all know, the new definition of “compromise” is Republicans giving in to whatever the president wants, or something), and shutdown stories will take up a lot of media space that would have been otherwise occupied by the ObamaCare rollout. Via RCP:
He is not going to give in because this is not going to give him political advantage. This is a lifeline for an administration that’s drowning. His numbers are low, the administration is in disarray, humiliated abroad, an economy stuck in the mud at home. He really has got nowhere to go. I think they have been hoping for a shutdown because Obama then gets to go on the stage and to give all that stuff that you showed in your introduction. ‘This is a law of the land, I’m upholding the law,’ except for one thing: It’s completely lawless. He unilaterally changed about 17 provisions in the law after it was passed. … You are not allowed to do that under our system. And then he says that the Republicans are the ones who are being unreasonable because they want to amend another provision. And as you pointed out, Obama already suspended it for the big guys, for big business you get a year of grace, but if you are a little individual, you don’t get anything. … The strategy I would have chosen would have been to do nothing right now. Allow it to go into effect. The stories in the press tomorrow instead of being about the glitches, the disasters, the people who can’t sign up, all the contradictions as you said — the honor system that you have to rely on, computers that cannot calculate what your premium is, what your subsidy is. Instead of the story being about how unwieldy and impossible is the bill, it’s going to be all about a shutdown, about the panda cam at the National Zoo shutdown over the government shutdown. It’s the wrong story.
 http://hotair.com/archives/2013/10/01/krauthammer-this-shutdown-is-pretty-much-a-lifeline-for-a-drowning-administration/

John McCain and Ted Cruz Offer Drastically Different Advice to House Republicans as Shutdown Nears

Sens. John McCain (R-Ariz.) and Ted Cruz (R-Texas) may belong to the same political party, but their approaches to the current Obamacare battle are drastically different.

McCain on Monday night called on the U.S. House to pass a “clean” continuing resolution and send it back to the Senate. In other words, the Arizona Republican wants exactly what the Democrats want: A continuing resolution that leaves Obamacare untouched and funds the government.

“That will happen sooner or later,” McCain said, adding that the Republicans “can’t win.”

On the other hand, Sen. Cruz urged his fellow Republicans to stand strong against the uncompromising Democrats in the Senate.

“#DontBlink,” Cruz wrote on Twitter Monday night.



Cruz’s advice was very short and to the point, but it’s meaning is clear.

http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2013/09/30/john-mccain-and-ted-cruz-offer-drastically-different-advice-to-house-republicans-as-shutdown-nears/ 

New York Times Correspondent’s Revealing Insight Into D.C.: It’s an ‘Insider Class’ Made up of ‘Political Careerists’ With a ‘Disease’

Mark Leibovich, the chief national correspondent for the New York Times Magazine, says that at a time when select parts of the federal government are shut down over partisan feuds, there isn’t a real difference between Democrats and Republicans in Washington anymore.

The author of “This Town: Two Parties and a Funeral-Plus, Plenty of Valet Parking!-in America’s Gilded Capital,” Leibovich believes members of both parties make up a “huge” political “insider class” made up of “political careerists.”

The author appeared on the Glenn Beck Program Monday to discuss the lack of gridlock in Washington.

“These are all people who might be yelling at each other on the House floor or on cable or something, but they’re cutting deals in the green room,” Leibovich said.  “They’re going out and giving speeches and doing these dog and pony shows about, ‘Oh we disagree’ — it’s one big kabuki.”

He summarized the situation: “What you’re seeing here is not a [capitol] that’s hopelessly divided — it’s hopelessly interconnected.”

Leibovich said that when people go to Washington, they get a “disease” and become “institutionalized, to some degree.”

“50% of all U.S. Senators, after they’re kicked out of office, now stay and become lobbyists,” he explained. “If they lose the election, they’re going to be fine.  They are set for life. They are institutionalized in the political system. ‘This Town’ is about what that system looks like.”

Leibovich said the media is also part of that system, and he’s not too popular at the moment for revealing the inner dealings in Washington.

“Part of the critique against me is, look, he’s violated the unwritten rule that people on the inside are not supposed to speak critically about other people on the inside,” he remarked.

But Leibovich also said he’s not too concerned about his popularity, and that it’s an important topic to write about.

Beck turned to the audience, saying Leibovich’s book, ‘This Town,’ is currently “neck in neck” with a biography about former President Woodrow Wilson.

Please, for everything that is good and sacred — I don’t care if you use it as a doorstop — just please don’t make the Woodrow Wilson thing number one,” Beck, a fierce critic of the 28th president, remarked.  “Please, buy this book. Please, I beg of you.”

Beck added that ‘This Town’ is also “one of the first stories where you actually hear the truth, because [Leibovich takes] everybody apart.”

“Oh yeah, this is not a Democrat or Republican book. There’s no such thing as Democrats and Republicans anymore,” Leibovich responded simply.

The only solution, the author said, is for people to “keep telling the truth,” because the “bull crap” in Washington “is not sustainable.”

http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2013/10/01/new-york-times-correspondents-revealing-insight-into-d-c-its-an-insider-class-made-up-of-political-careerists-with-a-disease/

GOP, you’ve tried surrender; let’s try fighting

By David Limbaugh
Why is it just assumed Republicans will automatically be blamed for any government shutdown over a budgetary impasse between Obama and his Democratic Party and Republicans?

More disturbingly, why do so many Republicans and right-leaning commentators surrender before we’ve even begun to fight?

Do our moderates believe there is any position President Obama and the Democrats could take that would result in the public’s blaming Democrats, rather than Republicans, for a shutdown?

The moderates always cite polls that say Republicans will be blamed, but who decreed that polls are set in stone? Which Republicans, when they were campaigning for election, promised to govern according to the polls and not their principles?

But if we must discuss the polls, let me ask you to consider what would happen if the pollsters framed their questions as follows:

“Will you support efforts by congressional Republicans to defund Obamacare, even to the point of a government shutdown, because they believe it is the greatest destroyer of jobs today in America, it will reduce access to and the quality of health care, it will not ensure coverage or care for everyone, it will not allow people to keep their own doctors or their own plans, it will cost the government at least twice what Obama promised, it will not reduce the health care expenses of a typical family of four by $2,500 as Obama promised but increase them by some $7,400, it is such a legislative mess and so burdensome that many have demanded to be exempted from its various provisions and President Obama, in disregard of his own health care law and of the Constitution’s separation of powers doctrine, granted, by executive fiat, special exemptions and delays to some and not others, and that the Internal Revenue Service, which has been caught red-handed abusing its power against the administration’s political opponents, will be in charge of enforcing Obamacare?

“And, dear voter, wouldn’t you agree that it’s a bit unfair to conclude that Republicans are mainly at fault for shutting the government down when the Democratic Senate has continually ignored its legal duty to pass budgets, Senate Democrats have flat-out announced they won’t negotiate and have leaked their secret desire that the government shuts down so they can demonize the Republicans, and Republicans have, in fact, passed several budgets, which only exclude the funding or delay the implementation of Obamacare, a law that is very unpopular with the American people?”

Of course, we’ll never see poll questions so patently loaded, especially in favor of the Republican position. And we shouldn’t. But we do see slanted poll questions all the time, subtly nudging the participants toward a desired response. I’m sure that’s the case here.

But we shouldn’t be defeated by poll questions based on a snapshot in time and based on fixed assumptions that don’t allow for any change in public opinion based on future events and communications. Unless he is clairvoyant, no pollster can factor into his questions the precise unfolding of events leading to and after a shutdown, and the possibilities of how they’re communicated are endless.

Polls can’t possibly predict to any degree of reliability how the public would respond to a shutdown if Republicans finally united and articulated a compelling case to the public before and during a shutdown, including the points contained in my absurd hypothetical poll questions.

What if Republicans got together, instead of shooting one another in the backs, and made those points and also hammered Obama for refusing to come to the table on real spending and entitlement cuts?

Objectively speaking, Obama’s position all along has been indefensible. Almost nothing he’s said about Obamacare is true — and this can be easily demonstrated. He will not do anything about our short- and long-term spending problems, and he and his party are the ones who are absolutely refusing to negotiate in good faith, if at all, on these budgetary issues.

Though I respect my more moderate friends on the right and don’t wholly discount their position, I believe that their default defeatism and their friendly fire against principled conservatives such as Ted Cruz are damaging the GOP’s chances of convincing the public of the unreasonableness of Obama’s position and the reasonableness of their own.

I believe that if Republicans would finally draw a firm line in the sand and then go to the media with a united, 24/7 communications effort, they would — with their courage, their principled stand and their contagious patriotism — reignite the grass roots and inspire many others to recapture an optimistic spirit, a spirit that says that America is not yet dead and that there are still elected officeholders who are willing to stake their careers on saving this nation.

We’ve been following the moderates’ advice, and where has it gotten us? Where has it gotten the nation?

http://www.humanevents.com/2013/10/01/gop-youve-tried-surrender-lets-try-fighting/

Fiscal Monkey Business

Congress pulls another stunt to break the sequester spending caps.

As the budget histrionics continue, both parties are slyly doing what Congress does best—spend more money. We reported last week that the GOP House has already agreed with Senate Democrats to raise spending in 2014 by $19 billion over the Budget Control Act caps—to $986 billion from $967 billion. But now Senate budget experts have identified in the spending bill some $18 billion more of mostly phantom savings from "changes in mandatory spending programs," also known appropriately enough as Chimps.

Here's how it works. While the budget caps cover mostly discretionary spending, they include a few mandatory programs. The House bill moves $18 billion from those programs from 2014 and pushes them into future years. For example, the bill moves into 2015 $8.9 billion from the Justice Department's "crime victims fund" and $1.6 billion from the Justice and Treasury mandatory budgets, and another $800 million from the Department of Agriculture into 2015 and beyond.

This frees up $18 billion more for Congress to spend in fiscal 2014 on discretionary accounts like the Corporation for Public Broadcasting without technically violating the sequester caps. It's a classic shell game to let Congress spend more while pretending it doesn't. The Members are betting they'll make a deal before 2015 to break the caps, so they'll get to spend more this year and more in the future too.

"We're almost $36 billion over the caps," says GOP Senator Tom Coburn of Oklahoma, a rare spending whistleblower. Too bad no one is listening, least of all the Republicans who are beating their chests over a "defund ObamaCare" fight they have no chance to win. They are, however, losing leverage over spending.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303464504579107450597866932.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_LEADTop

Judge Slaps Down Eric Holder's Request For Fast and Furious Lawsuit to be Dismissed

Late Monday night, U.S. District Court Judge Amy Berman Jackson denied a Department of Justice request to dismiss a lawsuit filed by the House Oversight Committee last summer over Operation Fast and Furious documents.

“In the Court's view endorsing the proposition that the executive may assert an unreviewable right to withhold materials from the legislature would offend the Constitution more than undertaking to resolve the specific dispute that has been presented here,” Jackson wrote in her ruling. "Neither legal nor prudential considerations support the dismissal of this action, the defendant’s motion to dismiss the action will be denied."

The lawsuit was filed shortly after Attorney General Eric Holder was held in contempt of Congress for failing to turn over requested Fast and Furious documents to Congress and after President Obama asserted executive privilege over documents despite denying any involvement in the operation.

"This ruling is a repudiation of the Obama Justice Department and Congressional Democrats who argued the courts should have no role in the dispute over President Obama's improper assertion of executive privilege to protect an attempted Justice Department cover-up of Operation Fast and Furious,” Chairman of the House Oversight Committee Darrell Issa said in a statement. “I remain confident in the merits of the House's decision to hold Attorney General Eric Holder in contempt; this ruling is an important step toward the transparency and accountability the Obama Administration has refused to provide."

Senator Chuck Grassley, who has been investigating Operation Fast and Furious since early 2011, also released a statement.

“This is an important step toward ensuring that Congress’ constitutional responsibility to provide oversight of the executive branch is vindicated. The President’s sweeping assertion of executive privilege over Fast and Furious documents is completely contrary to the transparent government that he promised and beyond any valid claim of privilege under the law," Grassley said. "The documents subpoenaed by the House of Representatives are essential to gaining a full understanding of the gunwalking program that led to the tragic death of a U.S. Border Patrol agent and the efforts to keep the truth about it from Congress and the American people. Given that its refusal to comply with the subpoena is unlikely to survive legal scrutiny, I fully expect the Obama administration to continue to put up procedural roadblocks to resolving this dispute. However, I look forward to the court finally deciding the case on the merits.”

At this point, there has not been a ruling from Jackson about whether Obama's executive privilege will stand. A ruling on whether executive privilege applies to the Fast and Furious documents in question is expected within the next two weeks.

http://townhall.com/tipsheet/katiepavlich/2013/10/01/judge-slaps-down-eric-holders-request-for-fast-and-furious-lawsuit-to-be-dismissed-n1713760

Dr. Ben Carson: ‘I had my first encounter with the IRS’ after challenging Obama

At an event in Birmingham, Ala. Monday night, former Johns Hopkins neurosurgeon Ben Carson revealed that he had received a visit from the Internal Revenue Service following his much-noted remarks at a National Prayer Breakfast earlier this year.

“I had my first encounter with the IRS this year, unsurprisingly after the prayer breakfast,” Carson told an audience that at the annual Business Council of Alabama Chairman’s Dinner, according to a report from Cliff Sims of the Montgomery, Ala.-based Yellowhammer News

Carson’s February speech February made him a conservative darling for criticizing President Barack Obama’s 2010 health care reform law, while Obama was sitting just a few feet away.

During the event, which also featured former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, Carson spoke about the potential presidential candidacy of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, U.S. relations with Russia and the Environmental Protection Agency.


The 'Low-Information Voter' Knows Very Little About Why Government Is Shutting Down

As a government shutdown begins, much of the public knows very little about the issues behind it: Obamacare and the future of the federal budget. An April Kaiser Family Foundation survey showed that 44% do not even realize that Obamacare is still the law. Kaiser’s June poll found that 33% say they have “heard nothing” about the controversial insurance exchanges that are a central element of the law, and 34% “only a little.”
When it comes to the budget, numerous polls show that voters grossly underestimate the percentage of federal spending that goes to entitlements such as Social Security and Medicare, while greatly overestimating the amount spent on foreign aid. Although the latter accounts for about 1 percent of the federal budget, surveys show that most Americans believe that it is five to ten times more than that, or even higher. This kind of basic knowledge may not be all voters need to know to form intelligent opinions. But it’s hard to do so without it.

Public opinion will probably play a key role in determining the outcome of the shutdown battle. Both parties want to attract public support and focus voters’ frustration on their opponents. But the voters politicians seek to win over are often very ill-informed.

Widespread political ignorance isn’t limited to spending and health care. It cuts across many other issues, and even the basic structure of government. For example, a 2006 Zogby survey found that only 42% of Americans can name the three branches of the federal government: executive, legislative and judicial.

In addition to knowing little about politics, voters also often do a poor job of evaluating the information they do have, overvaluing anything that supports their preexisting views, while devaluing or ignoring information that cuts the other way. A recent experiment by Yale Professor Dan Kahan and his colleagues found that otherwise mathematically competent Democrats and Republicans systematically misconstrue simple data about the effects of gun control on crime when it goes against their preconceptions.

It is easy to blame ignorance on stupidity or on the media. But basic information about most political issues is readily available in the media and online. It isn’t hard to find out what Obamacare insurance exchanges are. The problem is that most people don’t take the time and effort to do so. That is not because they are stupid, but because there is so little incentive to acquire political information. The probability that one vote will actually make a difference to the outcome of an election is infinitesimally small. Because there is so little chance that your vote will be decisive, people whose only reason to acquire political information is to make a better decision at the polls tend to be “rationally ignorant.” They understandably spend their time on other things. Similarly, they have little incentive to carefully evaluate the information they do know. Unbiased, objective evaluation also requires time and effort.

The problem of ignorance is exacerbated by the enormous size and scope of government. Government spending accounts for well over one third of GDP, and government also regulates nearly every aspects of life. Even if voters devoted far more time to following political issues, they would still be ignorant about most government policies.

There is no easy solution to the problem of political ignorance. Providing more information is unlikely to work, since most people fail to assimilate the information that is already available. But we can help alleviate the problem by limiting and decentralizing government. When people “vote with their feet” in the private sector or in choosing what state or local government they want to live in, they have much better incentives to acquire information and use it rationally than when they vote at the ballot box. Most of us spend far more time and effort acquiring information when we choose what car or TV to buy, than when choose the president of the United States. The person deciding which car to buy knows that their decision is likely to make a real different to the outcome. The same goes for a person deciding where to live in a federal system.

By reducing the size of government, we can enable more choices to be made in the private sector, where people have better incentives to become informed. By decentralizing more of its functions, we enable people to make more decisions by voting with their feet between different state or local governments. Moreover, a smaller, less complex, government would be easier for rationally ignorant voters to keep track of.

Political ignorance is not the only factor we should consider in deciding how large government should be or how centralized. But as we contemplate the possibility of a shutdown, this issue should play a bigger role in the discussion.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2013/10/01/the-low-information-voter-knows-very-little-about-why-government-is-shutting-down/

Powers, Separated on Purpose

The Constitution actually encourages gridlock.

By Charles CW Cooke

A political cartoon, published in a newspaper at some point in the early 1990s, has long been burned into my memory. In it, newly elected President Clinton is being shown around the White House by a man in a butler’s uniform. Clinton arrives at a wall on which sit an abundance of political levers and buttons and, thrilled, his eyes widen. Yet he is quickly disappointed. “Sorry, sir,” the orderly’s speech bubble reads, “but these are all connected to Congress.”

The brinkmanship, gridlock, and rancor that the fight over the continuing resolution has yielded is disliked, at least in some manner, by almost everyone involved. But opinions as to what might be done about it vary wildly. On Friday, Wonkblog’s Dylan Matthews provided a suggestion: Americans, he wrote, “oughta start thinking seriously about how to prevent divided government from ever happening again.”

This is not partisan posturing. On the contrary, Matthews earnestly and consistently believes that America’s system is intrinsically unviable, and that it is to blame for our current predicament. And he is tapping into a sentiment that is reasonably popular among his peers. The last time that the United States teetered toward a shutdown or a default, Slate’s Matthew Yglesias wrote at length about what he regards as the “long-simmering problems with the basic structure of American political institutions.” Were Yglesias to draw the next panel of the old cartoon, he would presumably have Clinton do some rewiring.

This line is not a new one. Hostility toward America’s rigid separation of powers has a rich, if unappealing, history on the Left. Woodrow Wilson — a man whose animus to the constitutional order that he had sworn to uphold approached almost treasonable levels — was savvy enough to recognize that the expansive long-term ambitions of the Progressive movement were simply incompatible with the country’s founding documents. In consequence, Wilson proposed, Americans should change their expectations of government, invest their democratic ambitions in one man (the president), and abandon the country’s messy political settlement in favor of a streamlined and “efficient” state that was more akin to that in the Kaiser’s Germany or in the King’s Britain. “The Constitution,” Wilson wrote, “was not made to fit us like a straitjacket. In its elasticity lies its chief greatness.”

While his insistence that the Constitution was not supposed to be a “straitjacket” is incorrect, Wilson and his descendants are correct in their basic complaint: Separation of powers is inefficient; it is an obstacle to substantial change; and it will not only “allow” gridlock but it is explicitly designed to encourage it. Where they are wrong is to conclude that this should change with the times. The Constitution is the product of abiding insight into politics — an insight that does not change with the wind. Rather amazingly, Yglesias claims the opposite to be the case: The problem of gridlock, he wrote in 2011, stems directly from the Founders’ having had “little in the way of experience to guide them in thinking about how political institutions would evolve.”

This is not simply untrue, it is the perfect opposite of the truth. Having watched the radical transformation of the British system during the 17th and 18th centuries — and studied undulations of the classical world, for good measure — most of the Founders were strikingly well versed in political theory. The introduction of limiting tools such as the rule of law, term restrictions, a codified constitution, a bill of rights, and divided government were intended to dispense with the presumption, famously termed “elective dictatorship” by Lord Hailsham, that the man who is voted in as leader every four or so years should have carte blanche to get things done. In other words, the Founders sought to block precisely what Yglesias and his cohorts covet. Nobody is perfect, of course, but I would wager everything I own that the architects of America were more au courant with the vagaries of human nature and the concentrating tendency of political actors than are the writers at Slate.

In some respects, Wilson has got his wish. Witness, for example, the peculiar manner in which many citizens, journalists, and legislators have presumed that Obama’s wishes for the congressionally designed budget should be the national starting point. Why? Because he won election to head up the executive branch, obviously! It seems that our debate has been upside-down from the start: Constitutionally speaking, if any elections should suggest the direction of the budget and of the laws, they are the 435 that determine the composition of the House. Alas, this no longer appears to be the case.

The truth that dare not speak its name is that the pronounced disharmony on show in the United States has a clear root cause — and it is not the structure of government. Democrats who complain that the House is being particularly obstinate are absolutely correct — it is. But rarely do they stop and ask “Why?” It seems obvious to me that at the root of our interminable trench warfare is the fact that one party made the regrettable decision to push through the most controversial piece of social legislation in a century without a single opposition vote. That party was, of course, entirely within its rights to do this when unified government presented them with the chance. Nevertheless, it is childish for it to complain that, the other side having been given a clear mandate to try to undo the measure, it is now doing just that. Elections do indeed “have consequences” — and that means all of them.

Critics of the United States correctly, if oddly, point out that the system of separated powers works only here. “We are the only country in the world in which . . .” is a typically witless refrain. In South America, where presidential democracies have been tried, gridlock has customarily led to the president “speaking for the people” by ordering a military coup and removing from the equation the legislators who demonstrated the temerity to serve as a check and a balance.

As a result of its mature political heritage and its British roots, the United States was spared this trend, blossoming quickly into a country in which the conflict that usually results from divided government is virtuously accepted by the people as the price of liberty. In America, Yale’s Juan Linz argues, strife that has led to violence in less-developed nations has become regarded as “normal.” Make no mistake: Dylan Matthews and his myopic ilk would unashamedly like to change this, rendering illegitimate the positions of the minority and subjugating the exquisite fractiousness of Congress to the imperium of a national leader. This is, of course, a prerogative they enjoy as free men. But there is nothing “progressive” about it at all.

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/359992/powers-separated-purpose-charles-c-w-cooke

Obama: Transforming America

From energy to foreign policy to the presidency itself, Obama’s agenda rolls along

 By Victor Davis Hanson
“We are five days away from fundamentally transforming the United States of America.” — Barack Obama, October 30, 2008
“We are going to have to change our conversation; we’re going to have to change our traditions, our history; we’re going to have to move into a different place as a nation.” — Michelle Obama, May 14, 2008

There certainly is no question that Barack Obama wants to change the United States. And there clearly is no doubt that such fundamental transformation is difficult, given our tripartite system of government — even though Obama entered office with large Democratic majorities in both houses of Congress, an enthralled media, and a closely divided Supreme Court.

So to what degree, after nearly five years in office, has Obama succeeded in changing the United States?
Federal spending. We are $6 trillion more deeply in debt. And there are record numbers of Americans on food stamps, unemployment insurance, and disability insurance, or simply disengaged from the work force. Obama has also fundamentally changed Americans’ ideas about the redistributive state.

Whereas, under Clinton and Bush, the argument centered on whether federal subsidies eroded the work ethic, created dependency, and led to a permanent underclass, now the discussion is quite transformed beyond the safety net. Fairly or not, Obama is seen as expanding entitlements in part as a political tool, quite apart from the question of their efficacy in eliminating poverty.

The problem is not just that his critics accuse Obama of trying to create a permanent constituency, a loyal “47 percent” dependent on state money, but rather the way in which Obama himself envisions these programs as reminders of his them/us faultlines. After 2009, the regulations governing food stamps and welfare were liberalized and politicized as never before. These payouts were judged not just on whether they hurt or helped people, but also, in the Greek and Roman sense, of increasing the number of recipients so as to change political realities.



Taxes and debt. Democrats usually wish to raise them, Republicans to shrink them. Nothing new there. But under Obama, there is now a twist. Higher taxes are not a means to achieve a balanced budget, as under the Clinton-Gingrich deal of 1997. Indeed, the return of a 39 percent–plus federal income-tax rate on higher incomes will result not in a balanced budget as before (even with congressionally imposed sequestration). We will still have huge annual deficits of two-thirds of a trillion dollars or more.
Because nearly half of Americans will continue to pay no federal income taxes, and the old Clinton rates were imposed only on the upper brackets, we have the worst of both worlds: high taxes on job creators, along with continuing huge deficits. That paradox raises the question of whether Obama sees deficits not just as necessary to prime the economy, or as a tolerable consequence of huge increases in federal spending, but also as a mechanism to serially raise taxes on the upper brackets, as a desirable redistributive end in and of itself. Taxes are seen now not just as a way to fund expenditures, but as a punitive tool — hence the new phraseology of 1 percent, fat cats, corporate-jet owners, you did not build that, no time to profit, at some point you’ve made enough money, etc. A more equal but poorer America appears to be preferable to a more affluent but less equal nation.

Health care. Little need be said about Obamacare, an orphan now disowned by most of its parents. The purpose of this vast new entitlement was not to ensure all Americans better health care (if it had been, then pro-Obama business owners, unions, and congressional staffers would have wanted in), but instead a sort of health-care TSA bureaucracy, with more dependents, more federal workers, and higher redistributive taxes — in short, larger government.

Interest rates. Ostensibly, de facto zero interest rates are used as a stimulus for a moribund economy that so far seems oblivious to all the traditional liberal priming tools of massive borrowing, growth in federal spending, and more entitlements and public hiring. Yet almost nonexistent interest rates have sharpened the class divide. The very wealthy have benefited enormously as capital streamed into the stock market in desperate search of almost any return. The very poor do not depend on interest on savings as a hedge against inflation or as central to retirement.

That leaves the middle class, who so far have not felt the upside of zero interest rates — the interest on their credit-card debt remains sky-high, their student loans are steep, and their mortgage interest for the most part is not all that low. The banks loan at high interest and pay almost nothing on deposits; Wall Street welcomes in cash without much worry about competition to produce returns; and the poor are the beneficiaries of the vast federal borrowing that goes some way toward explaining why interest rates cannot climb, given that servicing the ever-rising federal debt would become almost unsustainable.



The presidency. An imperial presidency is not new. But rule by executive fiat that escapes audit from the media is. We live in an age when a president can arbitrarily nullify a law, like Obamacare’s employer mandate; ignore it, like the Defense of Marriage Act; or simply create it, as with partial blanket amnesties. Various wars — on coal, guns, non-union businesses, and political opponents — are waged by executive action. For now, the logic is that the president’s means are justified by the exalted ends that he professes. Obama has set the precedent of a president creating, ignoring, or defying laws as he sees fit to forward a progressive agenda.
Scandal. Bill Clinton gave us plenty of scandals; but, as in the case of the Nixon administration, the media galvanized public attention to the danger of a sometimes lawless administration. But whether it is the Benghazi deception, the IRS scandal, the NSA disclosures, the AP monitoring, or Fast and Furious, a new precedent has been established that the public is supposed to weigh two considerations in assessing scandal: the truth versus the damage that the truth can do to a progressive vision of a fairer America. So far the truth has lost.

Politics. In his political style, Obama seems to operate on the medieval concept of exemption. Through lofty spoken abstractions, he excuses low behavior. Praising “civility” allows you to call your opponents veritable terrorists; talk of unity means energizing supporters to get in their opponents’ face; advocacy of a campaign of principles reduces Romney to a veritable ogre. Plenty of presidents have proved vicious, but few so adept in attributing their own base behavior to others. Damning fat cats and corporate-jet owners allows a president to hold serial $50,000-a-head fundraisers. Ridiculing Romney’s elevator seems to make vacationing in Aspen, Costa del Sol, Vail, and Martha’s Vineyard perfectly natural.

Energy. Before Obama, natural gas and nuclear power were seen as preferable alternatives to oil and coal. If new restrictions on reactors and a de facto end to the new federal leasing of land for oil and gas exploration are any indication, neither energy source is now acceptable. Had Obama opened up federal lands for fracking and horizontal drilling, built the Keystone Pipeline, and encouraged natural gas as a transportation tool, power bills would not have climbed and gasoline prices would not have doubled. The U.S. would have enjoyed an even brighter energy future than what private enterprise alone has provided.

Obama’s view of energy — whether we cite former energy secretary Steven Chu’s lunacy on the desirability of raising U.S. gasoline prices to European levels, or candidate Obama’s own promises to bankrupt coal companies — is elitist to the core. His signature energy achievement is to change the terms of the debate: The chief energy issues for the Obama administration are not national security, not energy independence, not greater competitiveness for American business, not savings for the American consumer, and not jobs. Instead, whether a fuel might heat the atmosphere seems the sole concern.

Race. Had Condoleezza Rice or Colin Powell been elected president, race would have been incidental rather than essential to their governance. Nothing in Barack Obama’s past suggests that such a statement could ever have been true of his presidency.

From the beer summit to “punish our enemies” to the two occasions of pop editorializing about Trayvon Martin, and from Eric Holder’s “my people” to “nation of cowards,” the Obama administration has sought at opportune times to emphasize racial differences, mostly to secure the base for Obama’s own reelection and for midterm elections.

The result is that race relations have become more polarized than at any other time in the last 30 years. Under Obama’s leadership, celebrities, political analysts, and politicians traffic more in racial animus than at any other time in our recent history. Obama has had an uncanny ability to energize the Black Caucus to voice unusually inflammatory charges. How did it happen that suddenly Chris Rock and Jamie Foxx sound racially biased? When did the post-election commentary of pundits (e.g., “too old, too white, too male”) become so race-based?

From the trivial — dropping his g’s and clumsily transforming his cadences — to the fundamental — weighing in in mediis rebus on pending court cases — the president’s goal has often been division, not unity. We have reached a surreal situation of reading daily accounts of black-on-white crime in the media, reported by politically correct journalists who dare not mention the perpetrator’s race, followed by enraged readers’ comments that are the most patently racist in modern memory.

Illegal immigration. Before Obama, the debate over illegal immigration was mostly an argument between two schools that transcended politics and ideology: literalists who believed the law had to be enforced to its full extent, postfacto as well as preventatively, and realists who agreed in theory but felt that many of the 11 million who resided illegally in the U.S. could be given a pathway to citizenship, so long as they have no criminal record, have avoided public assistance, and could claim long residence — contingent on closing the border.
.
Not now. Under Obama, illegal immigration has become a political if not a racially charged issue. Supporters of blanket amnesty saw an evolving demographic process of fundamentally transforming the electorate of the American Southwest, resonating with Obama’s own unfortunate lead, as in his advice to Latinos to “punish our enemies.” Perhaps this vision was best summarized by ACORN’s former CEO, Bertha Lewis. She recently urged African-Americans to support increased immigration on the following rationale: “We got some Latino cousins, we got some Asian cousins, we got some Native-American cousins, we got all kind of cousins. . . . Cousins need to get together, because if we’re going to be [part of the non-white] majority, it makes sense for black people in this country to get down with immigration reform. . . . Everyone, even all white folks in this country, acknowledge that in a minute, [the] United States of America will be a new majority, will be majority minority, a brand-new thing. . . . For the first time ever in history, African-Americans outvoted white Americans. Pooh. That’s the fear of the white man. That could change everything. That’s why [immigration] should matter to us.”
Foreign policy. What is the common theme to the euphemisms about terrorism and radical Islam, the failed reset with Russia, withdrawal from Iraq, confusion in Afghanistan, lead-from-behind in Libya, pink lines and pseudo–“game changers” in Syria, the faux deadlines with Iran, mesmerization with Turkey, peace feelers to Nicaragua, Cuba, and Venezuela, as well as the rhetorical tropes found in the Cairo speech, the U.N. addresses, and the Al-Arabiya interview?

Just as, in Obama’s worldview, the 1 percent exercise undue influence in the United States, so too abroad America has exercised exceptional power and influence that either are not warranted by its traditions and history, or do not contribute to stability and social justice in the world at large. Fundamentally transforming the role of the U.S. means tilting toward countries that are suspicious of the Western tradition, and favoring groups and countries like Turkey, the Muslim Brotherhood, and the Palestinians that have supposedly legitimate grievances against the United States. The goal? Probably, the transformation of the U.S. into something like the EU, whose democratic socialism is manifested abroad with soft-power lectures.

Guns. There is no new restrictive legislation on firearms; and yet never has the ability to buy reasonably priced ammunition and firearms in quantity been more curtailed. In loudly threatening to enact more gun control after each publicized tragic shooting, the Obama administration has created a climate of fear, which has prompted hoarding, shortages, panic buying, and paranoia, which have accomplished what the federal government could not.

To what degree these changes will be reversed or institutionalized depends on the 2014 and 2016 elections. For now, Obama’s transformations are not to be found only in his legislative record, but far more in his use of the presidency to change the way we envision and talk about America. 

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/359967/obama-transforming-america-victor-davis-hanson

Cloture Vote Exposes GOP Hacks

All across the country, voters are paying closer attention to the particulars of Senate procedures. As a result, they were angered and insulted by Senator Lindsey Graham, who dishonestly tried to hide behind procedural motions like the recent cloture vote and claim to support defunding ObamaCare while their votes actually make it more difficult to do just that.
This newfound understanding and interest by voters is a positive development for the future of liberty. It is an extension of the engagement on the part of citizens that was sparked by Rick Santelli's 'Lake Michigan Tea Party' rant in early 2009, and began in earnest with the town hall meetings later that spring. In the four and a half years since, millions of ordinary Americans have become increasingly aware of the Constitution and the problems caused by a bloated and arrogant government. There is also a growing recognition of how these isolated establishment elites hide behind the trumped-up complexities and subtleties of an absurd system they think we are not smart enough to figure out.
These ordinary people were pushed to the limit recently when 25 Republican Senators rejected the leadership of Ted Cruz and voted with Harry Reid and Chuck Schumer on a technical procedural vote defunding ObamaCare and then had the gall to use social media to deliberately deceive the voters. Some, like Lindsey Graham and John McCain, refused to allow their staffers to even answer complaints from constituents on this issue.Instead, they hid behind an equally dishonest voice mail recording.
Remember, these are the same members of Congress who wrote ObamaCare and then tried to sneak a work-around to shield themselves personally from some of the most onerous penalties of this legislative train-wreck.
For many decades, members in both houses of Congress have easily gotten away with just this kind of deception. In fact, it has been standard operating procedure.
This has to stop.
Perhaps they are starting to get the message. Conservative columnist Michelle Malkin mocked Graham for how he handled this entire charade. Graham's deceptive Tweets are now going viral and are being met with almost universal scorn. This kind of appalling behavior and imperiousness is precisely why Senator Graham is preferred by less than one in three South Carolina Republicans according to a recent poll. This is why others who acted as Graham did, including Mitch McConnell and Lamar Alexander, are also getting strong challenges from conservatives in Kentucky and Tennessee as well.
It is fitting that a small procedural vote regarding ObamaCare might just be the tipping point that brings down the whole scheme. Of course, we expect statists like Obama, Reid, and Pelosi to continue trying to ram this train-wreck of socialism down our throats. This is who they are and the kind of government-run society that they want.
Lindsey Graham, John McCain, and others hoped that they could get away with their subterfuge, hiding behind voice mail messages, Tweets, and Facebook posts. It did not work.
I'm not sure what's worse: that they tried to help Obamacare along, or that they thought we were not smart enough to figure it out. Either way, it is time for Lindsey Graham to be retired from the Senate, and that is exactly what I am going to do.

A Figurehead Speaker

Speaker John Boehner's goose is cooked. House conservatives' rebellion against Boehner's lame leadership has begun in earnest. How do we know this? Two names: "Cruz and Lee."
Remarkably, Senators Ted Cruz and Mike Lee are leading from the House side of Congress. That's right, House conservatives, in a gutsy move, are consulting with both senators, seeking their leadership while spurning Boehner's.
This course-changing development -- the beginning of the end of Boehner's speakership (and likely his congressional career) -- is underappreciated. Boehner can't possibly retain the speakership in January 2015 -- even if he wants it -- if roughly a third or more of his caucus refuses to support his nomination for another term.
As Robert Costa reported last week for National Review Online, under the headline, "Cruz to House Conservatives: Oppose Boehner:"

Leadership sources, for their part, are startled by Cruz's attempt to shape House strategy and work against the speaker. They knew he'd oppose Boehner's playbook, but they didn't expect him to huddle with conservatives and ask them to ignore it. So, Cruz's meetings have made him a key House player, but they've worsened his already-fraught relationship with the leadership.
Cruz and Lee have become de facto Republican House leaders because they're acting -- not just speaking -- in step with the grassroots.
Boehner will be ever more marginalized as conservative House members look toward the 2014 midterm elections -- elections where energizing grassroots conservative voters is critical to their reelection fortunes.
Make no mistake, Republicans will lose the House if disgusted conservative voters sit home next year.
If the speaker attempts to take his moderates and build ad hoc coalitions with House Democrats to pass legislation unpalatable to conservatives (something his lieutenants have suggested in the past), he's likely to spark a crisis that leads to his ouster.
Boehner's accommodationist approach has gone wretchedly with grassroots conservatives, who see the speaker as part of the problem in Washington. Boehner began his House career as a reliable conservative, only to morph over the years into a quintessential establishment Republican, a hack more interested in making nice with Democrats and tidying-up the welfare state than pushing for seminal reforms.
Given the threat to liberty by an revanchist statist president, Barack Obama, and likewise, steely left-wing congressional Democrats, what grassroots conservatives have loudly shouted for since Mr. Obama's election are leaders who fight critical battles to win; who, in fact, seek an historic national shift. That means leaders who are battling to end the long progressive era with its many insults to liberty and all the damages done.
Ambitious? Damn straight. But what great historical turns -- for good or ill -- have occurred without men and women who set goals that seemed impossible to the blinkered and conventional of their day?
Had Boehner, Cantor, and McCarthy (and let's not forget the oft-quizzical Senate Minority Leader, Mitch McConnell) been around in 1776 rather than Jefferson, Madison, Washington, and Adams, et al, the American Revolution would never have occurred. Oh, there may have been lip service paid to the need for "fundamental change" in the crown's tax policies and dispositions toward the colonies, but secession? No, no.
The mighty British Empire can't be defeated. We'll just have to negotiate and cut the best deals possible. It's our responsibility to make British governance work in the colonies, sayeth Toryish Boehner. But we'll get our propagandists to sell it as solid victories for the colonies -- while colonists keep taking it in the britches.
Today's conservative revolutionaries aren't fooled by Toryish Boehner's propaganda.
A key problem with Boehner and his lieutenants: they're men out of step with the times -- in part. Boehner acts all too often like its 1960 -- or thereabouts -- when liberalism was in full flower and, except for the audacious Bill Buckley and his cranky conservative intellectuals at National Review, unchallengeable.
The current problems and perils of leviathan government and emboldened leftism to the well being and liberty of the nation aren't appreciated by Boehner (at least publicly, and not in his actions).
The other key problem for the speaker and his cohorts is the sense that progressivism is inexorable, a phenomenon that will keep on rolling ad infinitum. Mr. Obama and the Democratic Party are merely resuming the left's long march. The mainstream media sides with the president and is a formidable -- if decisive -- shaper of public opinion. The popular culture's elite set trends and influence the public to the left's advantage. We can't hope to prevail against that array, Boehner surely reasons.
Boehner and establishment Republicans are intimidated. That's been a Republican ailment since FDR. Republicans have also suffered a progressive strain in their party since Teddy Roosevelt, furthered by Willkie, Dewey, Eisenhower, Nixon, Rockefeller, Ford, the Bushes, Dole, McCain, and Romney. In fairness, these men held some conservative beliefs, too. But their conservatism tended to the "fix and restrain it" sort. There was no revolution in any of them.
For House conservatives to bypass Boehner and his lieutenants in favor of Cruz and Lee is an extraordinary act of rebellion, plain and simple, not some passing protest or useless symbolic act so common to Washington. The consequences of the rebels' defiance are keenly appreciated by them. They've started a fight they must win.
The speaker's powers are considerable. Boehner can dole out favors or punish GOP members. He can assure that the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) helps in reelections or not. Boehner has the allegiance of many big donors and facile Washington PACs. The speaker influences committee assignments.
There are bigger implications to the burgeoning rebellion against the speaker. The struggle for control of the GOP will begin soon, too. The rebellion against Boehner is a precursor to the war-to-come in 2016, when the presidential nominating process settles the GOP's fate. 2014 is another critical battleground. Victories by conservative House candidates -- staked out to conservative positions -- means deposing Boehner (if he stands for reelection) and his lieutenants for bona fide conservative leaders.
A conservative dominated House beginning in 2015 could play a critical role in helping shape the party's fate in 2016.
As this is written, Boehner is pushing for a one-year delay in ObamaCare's individual mandate and nixing the medical devices tax that is part of ObamaCare's funding mechanisms. He's also wants the federal government funded through mid-December.
Whatever the merits of each element of the speaker's proposal, if they lack the overarching strategic aim of extinguishing ObamaCare then they're merely chaff in the wind.
This latest confrontation with Mr. Obama over spending, debts, and ObamaCare isn't likely to acquit the speaker. It's probably yet another in a series of pyrrhic victories that the speaker will announce when a deal is struck with the president and his Democrats.
If that take is correct, then the speaker will be pushed more rapidly toward the margins as 2014 approaches by House conservatives determined to win reelections with new mandates to fight for historic change.

  http://www.americanthinker.com/2013/10/a_figurehead_speaker.html#ixzz2gUNuNPsE

Violent, murderous kid aims gun at… oh wait, it was just his hand

Administrators at Harmony Community School in Osceola County, Florida wasted no time in suspending a student who pointed his finger at another student in a gun-like manner.

Eight-year-old Jordan Bennett was playing cops and robbers with his friends while at school. At one point, he gestured with his finger as if he were holding a gun, and pretended to shoot. This alarmed school officials, who promptly removed the boy from classes for the rest of the day.

The gesture amounted to a threat of violence, according to the school.

Bennett’s mother sees the matter differently.

“He didn’t threaten violence. He didn’t utter words that were inappropriate. He made a sound and used his fingers and that was it,” she said in a statement to local news.

Bennett is back in class, but his mother still believes he was wronged by his school.

Bennett is hardly the first kid whose innocent imagination has earned a serious punishment. The Daily Caller has reported on kids who were disciplined by school officials for playing with fake guns on their own property, for wearing small key chains that looked like a guns and even for merely chewing a pop tart into the shape of a gun. (RELATED: Awful: School expels kids who played with airsoft gun on private property.) (RELATED: Insanity: seventh-grader suspended three days for gun keychain the size of a quarter)

The school district did not immediately respond to a request for comment, but told local news that district policy prohibits students from playing with invisible or otherwise imaginary guns. The Daily Caller found no such clause in the Student Code of Conduct, although “look-alike weapons” are indeed banned. Whether a finger counts as a “look-alike” gun is up for interpretation.

Maduro to Obama: 'Yankee go home!'

Venezuela President Nicolás Maduro expelled three top U.S. Embassy officials on Monday, accusing them of fomenting economic sabotage, including all-too-frequent power blackouts, in the oil-rich yet impoverished South American nation. Maduro's remarks were right out of Hugo Chavez's anti-American playbook. They dashed Washington's hope that Maduro, a former union leader and bus driver, would be more "pragmatic" than Chávez, the popular firebrand president who died last March. Maudro was apparently unimpressed with President Obama's desire for a reset in relations with Venezuela.

"Get out of Venezuela!" Yankee go home!" Maduro shouted on live television, during a celebration marking the bicentennial of a battle for independence from Spain. "Enough of abuses against the dignity of a homeland that wants peace."

The embassy officials were identified as chargé d'affaires Kelly Keiderling; political officer Elizabeth Hoffman; and vice consul David Moo. They have 48 hours to leave the country.

Maduro didn't say whether the trio had anything to do with the dark side of Venezuela's so-called "21st Century" socialism: toilet paper and food shortages; an annual inflation rate of more than 45 percent; epic levels of corruption; and Caracas' status as the world's murder capital. Power blackouts also have been a problem.

"We have detected a group of officials of the United States Embassy in Caracas, in Venezuela, and we have been tracking them for several months," Maduro explained. "These officials spend their time meeting with the Venezuelan extreme right wing, financing them and encouraging them to take actions to sabotage the electrical system, to sabotage the Venezuelan economy."

Regarding the Obama administration, Maduro said he "doesn't care" about its response. "We're not going to allow an imperial government to come and bring money to stop companies operating, (and) to take out the electricity to shut Venezuela down."

"Señores gringos, imperialists, you have before you men and women of dignity that...will never kneel before your interests and we're not afraid of you. We'll confront you on all levels, the political, the diplomatic."

Maduro's rant underscores that things can only get  worse in Venezuela. Under Chávez and Maduro, Venezuela's old pathologies -- Statism, bread-and-circus populism, and corruption -- have grown to epic levels. But like Chávez, Maduro is clueless about what's wrong; and so he finds it convenient to promote conspiracy theories and anti-Americanism. But this isn't merely about political expediency and demagoguery, because Maduro no doubt really believes what's he saying, as do many Venezuelans.

"Yankee go home!" Sadly, it's an old story in Latin America and many parts of the world.

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