Monday, September 9, 2013

Current Events - September 9, 2013

 Now it's the 43 percent: Fewer paying no income tax

That "47 percent" quote that helped sink Mitt Romney's presidential hopes? Better make that 43 percent now. 

The share of households who aren't paying any federal income tax has fallen, and a new analysis from the Tax Policy Center predicts that it will continue to shrink in years to come.


That's partly because a slew of temporary tax cuts enacted during the Great Recession have started to expire. And it's partly because an improving economy means people's incomes should slowly start to increase, adding to their income tax bill. 

By 2024, the tax policy think tank projects that only about one-third of households won't be paying any federal income taxes. The improvements might take a while because the economy has been adding new jobs at a painfully slow pace, and many workers aren't yet seeing much bigger paychecks
 
Romney made "the 47 percent" famous during his 2012 Republican presidential campaign, after he was secretly recorded at a closed-door fundraiser saying that 47 percent of the population is dependent on government, believes the government has a responsibility to care for them "and will vote for this president no matter what."



"These are people who pay no income tax. Forty-seven percent of Americans pay no income tax," Romney said in the secretly recorded video, which was obtained first by Mother Jones and later by NBC News.

Romney was widely believed to have been referencing an earlier analysis released by the Tax Policy Center, which estimated that 47 percent of households paid no federal income taxes in 2009. 

Roberton Williams, a senior fellow with the Tax Policy Center, notes that households that pay no federal income tax are very likely to still be paying other taxes. Those include payroll taxes for Medicare and Social Security, sales taxes and other state and local taxes. 

"These people are taxpayers. That's an important point to make, I think," Williams said. 
So who makes up the 43 percent? 

Williams' analysis found that about 29 percent of all households include people who are working, and subject to payroll taxes, but don't have a federal income tax bill. That could be because of deductions or other tax breaks. 


Another approximately 10 percent are elderly, and they likely aren't paying federal income taxes because they don't have much income beyond Social Security.

A smaller portion—about 3 percent—are making less than $20,000 a year and therefore aren't subject to federal income tax because they are too poor. 

That leaves about 1 percent of taxpayers who have other special circumstances, such as they are already paying foreign taxes. 

Those who pay no federal income taxes aren't all low wage earners. Thousands of people who have income of more than $200,000 a year have been able to zero out their federal income tax bill, according to data from the Internal Revenue Service. 


Williams also noted that many people who are part of the 43 percent may not even know it, since most people don't do their own taxes and those that do can easily get lost in the complexities of our famously dizzying tax code.

"I don't really know whether people are aware of it or not," he said. 

Want more detail? Watch the Tax Policy Center's whiteboard video.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/101015065

Obama’s “Inside Job” Destroying America

 By Wayne Allyn Root
Have you seen the movies “Olympus Has Fallen” or “White House Down“? These movies are about terrorists taking over the White House and kidnapping the President. But those movies are based on attacks from outside.

Barack Obama proves you don’t need Russia, or China, or North Korea, or radical Muslim terrorists to take down the White House. Obama is doing more damage from the inside, without firing a shot, than our worst enemies could ever imagine.

At Columbia University (Class of 1983), my fellow classmates admitted they hated America, hated “the rich,” and despised Judeo-Christian values. We spent our days discussing and debating their plan to destroy capitalism and radically change America from within by electing one of their own to the Presidency.

Once elected, the plan was to overwhelm the system with spending, taxes, entitlements and debt. Capitalism would topple, business owners would lose everything, and Americans would be brought to their knees, begging for government to save them. In that way America would become a socialist nation.

Recognize that plan? It’s happening right in front of our eyes. Barack Obama was one of my Columbia classmates. No one ever saw him, he rarely if ever attended class, even professors don’t remember him. Maybe he was too busy attending socialist or communist meetings and studying this plan. Because it is clear he learned well.

What is happening to America right in front of our eyes is this exact plan. Real life is replicating the silver screen. With economic and moral carnage from coast-to-coast, and now throughout the Middle East, it is clear the White House is down, and Olympus has fallen, from within.

Just look at the facts:

In Egypt seventy churches have been burned and Christians killed by the Muslim Brotherhood, yet Obama says nothing. As a matter of fact, Obama’s White House spokesman made a joke about the killing of Christians in Egypt.

While the murder of Christians does not pass any “red line,” Obama is mortified when radical Muslims murder other radical Muslims in Syria. That passes Obama’s “red line” and triggers a desperate desire for America to go to war, and risk the lives of our brave soldiers to defend our sworn enemy, Al Qaeda, and risk starting World War III.

The President of the United States seems to be a friend of the Muslim Brotherhood and Al Qaeda. He’ll meet with them, praise them, fund them, and even invite friends of theirs to the White House. Now he wants to enter a civil war in Syria on their behalf. But make friends with Republicans? Actually sit down with Republicans at the White House? Listen to the concerns of Republicans? Now that is too much to ask.

Unimaginable. Until Obama came along.

When George Zimmerman was found innocent of the death of Trayvon Martin, Obama quickly weighed in. Yet our President says nothing about the black-on-black genocide in the streets of Chicago (his hometown), or the out-of-control black-on-white crime wave happening across America.

Just in the past few days a white Australian baseball player was murdered by black youth in Oklahoma; a white 88-year old World War II veteran was murdered by black youth in Spokane; and 12 black youths participated in a brutal gang rape in a Wilmington, Del. park.

I’m waiting for Obama to call a press conference and say, “These two women gang raped by black youth in that park could have been my daughters. This violence by black youth must stop.”

I fear I’ll be waiting for…eternity. After all, this is the same President whose Equal Employment Opportunity Commission recently ruled that it is racist for employers to conduct criminal background checks on black job applicants, because they might find out the applicant is a criminal. But the EEOC says it’s fine to do it for white job applicants.

Unimaginable. Until Obama came along.

Under Obama our nation is so broke we no longer have the money for White House tours, or to properly staff air traffic controllers, or to keep open our Top Gun training for Navy fighter pilots, or to keep illegal immigrant felons behind bars, or to keep pools open for military families.

Yet somehow we have tens of millions of dollars so our President can vacation in Hawaii and Martha’s Vineyard and go on countless golf outings. We somehow have $100 million for him and his family to take a trip to Africa, where he pledged $7 billion of our money to provide electricity for the citizens of Africa. And, what about the millions for the IRS to spend on lavish conferences and the billions Obama is giving the Palestinians and the Muslim Brotherhood.

Oh, and don’t forget the billions Obama has spent to arm Al Qaeda and Hezbollah rebels in Libya and Syria, who will later use these same weapons to kill us. Actually they already have- see Benghazi.

Unimaginable. Until Obama came along.

Amazingly, while our President arms Muslim rebels, he wants to disarm American citizens. Even that pales next to the arming of our own government agencies. Even the Agriculture Department and Department of Education now have militarized SWAT teams. The Department of Homeland Security just bought 1.6 billion rounds of hollow point bullets- enough to fight 30 years of the Iraq and Afghanistan wars.

Does the U.S. government fear its own citizens? Is Obama preparing for a revolution in the streets? Civil war?

Unimaginable. Until Obama came along.

In California, Democrats have proposed a bill to allow illegal immigrants to serve on juries. Obama spends millions of our taxpayer dollars for advertising in Mexico telling illegal immigrants in America they are eligible for food stamps. Billions in welfare payments are given to illegal immigrants disguised as “earned tax credits” even though they pay no taxes in the first place. Our government pays commissions to “recruiters” to inform Americans it is their “patriotic duty” to sign up for food stamps. Patriotic duty? Sounds like Soviet-era communist propaganda, doesn’t it?

Unimaginable. Until Obama came along.

Obama hands out free “Obama phones.” The catch is they are all bugged. Big Brother listens to your every word.

Unimaginable. Until Obama came along.

And then there’s Obamacare. It’s such a train wreck even Obama’s most loyal supporters – unions – want out. The head of the IRS testified he wants out. Even the company Obama hired to promote Obamacare relies on part-time workers, who have no health benefits. Economic disaster looms.

Unimaginable. Until Obama came along.

None of this should come as a surprise. Remember Democrat delegates booed God three times at Obama’s Presidential convention. And only days ago in Iowa, a Democrat activist opened a meeting with prayer – thanking God for the “blessing” of abortion.

Yes my fellow Americans, the White House is down, Olympus has fallen, and America is being destroyed from within. Who needs terrorists? Obama’s plan is so much more efficient.

http://www.theblaze.com/contributions/obamas-inside-job-destroying-america/

Change: Democrats Suddenly Pro-War, For Some Strange Reason


Katie's already previewed the president's big week ahead, as a Congressional vote on intervening in Syria looms.  According to NBC's whip count, things are looking dicey on Capitol Hill: As of this writing, 27 Senators are solid/lean "no" votes, 23 are committed or lean in favor of intervention, and 49 are undecided.  In the House, the picture is bleaker for the administration.  Fully 235 members are strong or likely "no's" at the moment, well past the requisite threshold (217) to defeat the resolution.  Twenty-six House members support the resolution, or lean that way, with 172 undecided.  The president aims to shift the momentum with a speech tomorrow night at 9pm ET.  In the interim, however, the White House is botching politics 101, spurning and ignoring potential allies from across the aisle:

“I don’t even know who my White House liaison is,” a frustrated Representative Adam Kinzinger, who supports military action in Syria, said on This Week this morning. The Illinois Republican told George Stephanopoulos that his office reached out to the White House to help “round up support” for authorization last week. “I haven’t heard back from the White House yet — I haven’t heard back from anyone,” he said. Kinzinger praised President Obama’s assessment of this situation in Syria, but said the “trust deficit” with Congress will prevent it from passing.

Blowing off a young, conservative former fighter pilot as votes slip away?  Smooth.  Meanwhile, despite more than a week of salesmanship, the public remains unsold on a Syria strike.  CNN's latest poll contains some interesting data:


(1) Overall, 59 percent of the public opposes Congress authorizing the use of military force, with 39 percent in support.  Perhaps most alarming for the White House is that the question wording included all the caveats the president is likely to employ in his major address (no ground troops, limited action, chemical weapons used by Assad against civilians).

(2) Every political cohort polled opposes action...except for Democrats, who back the war 56/43 (nearly the exact reverse of the general populace's attitude).  Political independents are driving the opposition (29/67 opposed).  In a deeply ironic shift, backing an unpopular Middle Eastern war is becoming a litmus test of Obama *support* among Democrats.

(3) Even if Congress authorizes the strikes, a majority (43/55) would still oppose them.  A massive 71 percent majority would oppose military action if Congress votes down the resolution.  The White House has insisted that the president would still have the authority to override Congress and order the bombing anyway, though they've begun to suggest that he won't -- perhaps because of polls like this one.

(4) Eight-two percent of Americans believe it's likely or certain that the Assad regime used chemical weapons against civilians.  So people are aware of Assad's atrocities, but still don't want to intervene.  Why?  A mere 26 percent of respondents say American strikes would effectively "achieve significant goals."  Seventy-two percent say it won't.  Almost as many have determined that an attack on Syria would not serve the US national interest.

How is the Obama administration brain trust responding to these concerns?  Not well. Secretary of State John Kerry is vowing that any potential American action would be "unbelievably small."  That's a verbatim quote.  He's trying to build support for a war by promising that it won't really accomplish anything.  How does this assertion jive with these reports?  Plus, one wonders how that statement might impact the super-majority of Americans who don't believe an attack would "achieve significant goals" -- or, say, the military.  Speaking of goals, here's how an unnamed US official describes the Obama administration's "objective" (I use the term loosely) in Syria.  Again, this is not a parody:


The strike, as envisioned, would be limited in the number of targets and done within a day or two. It could be completed in one fell swoop with missiles, said one senior official familiar with the weapons involved. A smaller, follow-on strike could be launched if targets aren't sufficiently damaged.  A second senior official, who has seen the most recent planning, offered this metaphor to describe such a strike: If Assad is eating Cheerios, we're going to take away his spoon and give him a fork.

Will that degrade his ability to eat Cheerios? Yes. Will it deter him? Maybe. But he'll still be able to eat Cheerios. The two officers with current and recent service in the Middle East say the term "degrade" is so vague that it could be used to describe the effect of a single cruise missile strike.

The president already has a high bar to clear to rally support for his proposed action; his own team's stumbles have now raised the bar even higher, thanks to rank incompetence.  Incidentally, here's another Kerry gaffe, which the State Department is trying to mop up.  Smart power.  I'll leave you with the Los Angeles Times laying waste to the White House's incoherent case for war in Syria:


The planned military strikes on Syria would be “targeted, limited” and wouldn’t seek to topple the government of President Bashar Assad or even force it to peace talks.  They would also be punishing and “consequential” and would so scare Assad that he would never use chemical weapons again. U.S. airstrikes would change the momentum on the battlefield of the Syrian civil war. But the war will grind on, unchanged, perhaps for years.  As administration officials lay out their case in favor of a punitive attack on Syria, they have been making all of these seemingly contradictory contentions, confusing supporters and providing rhetorical weapons to their opponents.

I'd add, "we don't need Congress' authorization, but it's also not a show vote" to the list of contradictions.


UPDATE - Pew has released a new poll showing opposition to military force spiking 15 points since last week.  The administration's lobbying efforts are going swimmingly:




UPDATE II - An escape hatch for Obama, courtesy of the pro-Assad Russians?
 
http://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2013/09/09/change-democrats-suddenly-prowar-for-some-strange-reason-n1695282

Why Obama is Floundering

The sheer ineptitude of President Obama's handling of his Syria red line has made jaws drop all across the political spectrum. The man who garnered so much admiration for his oratorical brilliance, personal charm, and political genius has managed to make matters worse with every step he has taken.  This dramatic and historic collapse demands explanation.

It must be acknowledged from the start that Obama might now be the victim of unrealistic expectations stoked by his media allies, who once called him a "lightworker" and "almost a god." But then again, when you promise to stem the rise of the oceans, you are auto-inflating a myth that cannot be sustained. He is thus both the victim and perpetrator of unrealistic expectations.

But to be frank, unrealistic expectations have nothing to do with his Syrian predicament. His behavior has been well below minimal expectations of a president. With Russian warships assembling off Syria, his apparently off-the-cuff ultimatum is proving to be a historic blunder, not a matter of failing to be a superman.

Barack Obama now finds that the items in his toolbox that got him to the Oval Office no longer work. Take oratory, for example. Presidential speeches are, as Brit Hume observed on Fox News Sunday, a "depreciating asset" whose effectiveness diminishes with use. And in Obama's case, as Peggy Noonan pointed out, it is depreciating faster than most other presidents:
"I think every president in the intense media environment we have now, certainly every two-term president, gets to a point where the American people stop listening, stop leaning forward hungrily for information. I think this president got there earlier than most presidents. And I think he's in that time now."
In fact, so strong is the public aversion to more Obama windbaggery that when the president gave an exclusive interview with CNN's morning show New Day a couple of weeks ago, a mere 323,000 people -- one tenth of one percent of the population of the United States as noted by Noel Sheppard of Newsbusters -- tuned in. More than three times as many watched Fox and Friends.

But President Obama's address to the nation Tuesday night and his round of network anchor interviews today (snubbing MSNBC!) will be watched by a lot of Americans. Issues of war and peace have a way of focusing minds, though perhaps not Obama's when it comes to thinking through the implications of his words and deeds on the world stage. He is entirely unaccustomed to the notion that he cannot talk his way out of a problem, that he can't finesse those who oppose him with more words.

Throughout his rise to prominence, through elite schools and with no particular professional achievements other than rocketing through elective office to the presidency, Barack Obama has never had to face serious consequences for foolish utterances. He has been protected by his race; leftist actor Ed Asner recently admitted, "A lot of people don't want to feel anti-black by being opposed to Obama." This same sentiment no doubt existed throughout his journey through higher education as student and lecturer. I doubt anybody ever laid a glove on him intellectually, forcing him to defend himself in an academic disagreement. To even the limited extent words ever have consequences in academia, Obama was able to check the résumé box of academic position at a prestigious university without ever actually defending a thesis, presenting or publishing an academic paper, or even engaging in faculty lounge discussions. He was a loner, outside the faculty social group at the University of Chicago.

In making his case for an act of war upon Syria and its allies, Obama has fastened on the concept of enforcing a norm, a term straight out of Sociology 101. Syria never signed the chemical warfare treaty, so "norm" is about the strongest term he can use. George Homans explained what a norm is in The Human Group, the classic study continuously in print since 1950:  "...norms are ideas. They are not behavior itself, but what people think behavior ought to be."  Norms exist only in the minds of members of a group; if they are written down, they become rules, laws, regulations, and other things, and are no longer norms.
But Homans points out that something can be a norm "only if the norm is followed by some punishment." That punishment is up to members of the group, and can vary from a cross look to acts of war, depending on the context. In other words, there's more than one way to enforce a norm.

It is understandable that Barack Obama might have warm and fuzzy feelings for norms as a means of social control. Throughout his life he has benefitted from norms concerning race. To merely criticize him has been to be called a racist by his supporters until fairly recently. His media supporters have enforced norms against investigating too closely into his past. Borne of collective guilt over the nation's past, these norms have served to advance Barack Obama's political career at warp speed. His empty résumé, full of titles and no actual accomplishments, was accepted with no questions asked.

But these norms are an American phenomenon. They don't apply to the group consisting of nation states, especially at the apex of that group's power and influence. In that society, slavish domestic media mean nothing. The members of the superpower (and wannabe)  club speak a language of power and they play for keeps.

Not only is Barack Obama unprepared for the responsibilities that lie on his shoulders, he has no experiential base to use as a referent. So he is flailing, while the danger mounts and damage to America deepens.

Obama and Syria: Words versus Deeds

 In trying to puzzle out what might be going on with President Obama's muddled, non-strategic, and fundamentally "unserious" approach to Syria, it helps to remember that Obama believes that words are as good as deeds, perhaps even better -- especially when those words are uttered by Obama. He has concluded that words serve a convincing purpose in the moment, that one utterance does not have to be consistent with the next to be credible and serve that purpose, and that none of it has to be followed up with action to be effective.

And why wouldn't he? Words have gotten him to the pinnacle of the US presidency without deeds ever having been necessary.

Obama has been told for much of his life that he could and even should be president. As best we can tell, he was accepted to Harvard Law School without an especially stellar record of prior academic achievement. While there he became president of its august Law Review, through the mechanism of an election that was basically a popularity contest. Because he was the first black person to hold that position, the event merited coverage in the New York Times and later led to Obama's being signed to a book contract, although he had never written a book before and done a minimal amount of academic writing in general -- including virtually none for the Law Review even as its president, which is a highly unusual state of affairs.

On graduation Obama was quickly offered a position at another highly-respected institution, the University of Chicago Law School, although he lacked a record of the sort of scholarship that would ordinarily merit such an appointment. The details of his early years at Chicago exhibit the same pattern of reward despite what would seem like insufficient achievement: according to Chicago Law School professor Douglas Baird, the man who recruited him, Obama was sought out by the law school because another law professor had said Obama had done a good job merely editing an article in his role as president of the Harvard Law Review. As a result, Obama was offered an office at Chicago and given carte blanche to write his book there, and then he was "persuaded" (Baird's phrase, not mine) -- despite Obama's own reluctance -- to teach law at Chicago, as though he were doing the school a big favor. As a law teacher he seems mostly to have been good at listening to "conversations" and making students feel heard.

Obama did nothing at Chicago but teach his courses, and did not produce even the minimal publication record usually expected and regularly required. He ran for and was elected to the Illinois state senate and was pegged as a star going somewhere by President Emil Jones, who facilitated his climb by handing him legislation that other people had developed and allowing Obama to get unearned credit. And then Obama became a US senator, having done little of substance at the state level, and a US president having done little of substance at the US senate level -- except to look good, sound good, speak well, and impress people by looking good, sounding good, and speaking well.

There's no escaping the fact that Obama also combined the powerfully charismatic but essentially empty characteristics already listed with a racial background that appealed to many people who wanted to show their own open-mindedness, and to be part of making American history by voting for a black man for president.

And so Obama became president on the strength of all of the above. And then he received a Nobel Peace Prize for the same, after only a few months as president and seemingly on the strength of speeches and promise. It seemed as though, at least for the moment, the world concurred that he was a very special fellow.

So to be cold-bloodedly logical here: why wouldn't Obama believe his own hype? It's the message that he'd consistently and repeatedly been given. Imagine if the above story had been your life. Wouldn't you believe in the magical power of your words and your persona? It is a world most of us will never know, but it has been Obama's world for his entire adult life.

Now he's come up against something different: the actual world, and especially the world outside of elite law schools, the US and its sycophantic press, or even the leftists of Western Europe. It's the world of big bad guys such as Assad and Putin and quite a few others, who have different standards by which they judge a person's mettle.

Obama warns, draws red lines, and fires off what he refers to as "shots across the bow" without even seeming to understand (as Krauthammer points out) what the phrase really means. Obama's youthful speechwriters -- who know even less than he does -- write the words he speaks, and he approves them. On occasion he also ad-libs some words, too.

But those other guys laugh at his pretty words. They are immune to his magic, and to the persuasive power of certain other words: those of the journalists and pundits in our mainstream media. While Obama talks, certain foreign leaders make plans, and sometimes they even follow their plans through with action.

Going to War with the Blind General of Benghazi (An Apology)

Okay. I’m an idiot. What was I thinking? I apologize.

Any administration that could have the temerity to send the nauseating serial Benghazi prevaricator Susan Rice, on the anniversary of that event yet, to explain to Congress why our representatives should approve a strike on Syria not only should NOT get the aforesaid approval, they should be forbidden approval for anything more significant than the choice of wallpaper in the White House rest rooms — and even that I’m not so sure.

In earlier columns, I supported an attack on Syria because I abhor Bashar Assad and his (or his minions’) use of chemical weapons and because I have even less regard for his mentors, the Iranian mullahs. I wanted to discourage them both.

Well, naturally. Who wouldn’t?

But in my overweening contempt I overlooked — or more exactly chose to ignore — the obvious. We would be going to war with a blind man as our commander-in-chief. And I don’t mean a physically blind man like the Japanese samurai Zatoichi, whose heroic exploits were magnificent despite his infirmity, if you remember the film series. I mean a morally, psychologically and ideologically blind man incapable of coherent policy, action or even much logical thought on any matter of significance, let alone on such a crucial one with life and death at stake.

Maybe it took the the looming anniversary of the Benghazi tragedy — and the Theater of the Absurd mondo bizarro image of Susan Rice once again acting as a spokesperson — to remind me of that and knock sense into me, but I apologize to my readers. I should have known better.

Yes, I know the cliché goes that you go to war with the army you have, but going to war with a “blind general” at the helm is one step too far. Actually, it’s many steps too far.

And Obama is genuinely blind in the deepest sense because he doesn’t really know who he is or what he stands for. That’s why he vacillates all the time. I realize many on the right feel, with some justification, that Obama is some kind of neo-socialist, anti-colonialist out of Frank Marshall Davis via Saul Alinsky, but I don’t even think he’s that. Or not only that.  If Obama is Trotsky lite, it’s very lite indeed, a kind of uncommitted Trotsky that Stalin wouldn’t have bothered to assassinate. He’s not a particularly successful socialist, judging by his record, or even a particularly good crony capitalist (though a bit better at that).

What he is is confused, one day decrying American exceptionalism, the next day invoking it, a nowhere man, weak and ineffectual, the very worst type of person to lead in wartime, certain not to inspire even for a second.

Worse still, he has proven to us through Benghazi that he has no moral core. He was willing to lie, and have his minions lie continually, to the American people about what happened in that city on September 11, 2012, and he hasn’t even begun to correct the record.

A man without a moral core cannot be trusted for a second to lead in wartime because he is constantly confronted with moral and tactical decisions.

To my shame I ignored this. This is particularly painful to admit, since I wrote many times about the importance of Benghazi, how finding the truth about that horrifying event is necessary not only for the families of the Americans who were murdered, but for the future health of our republic.

The deceptions about Benghazi runs through Barack Obama and, of course, through Hillary Clinton.  I wouldn’t trust either of them to mow my lawn, let alone command the American military.

http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2013/09/08/the-blind-general-of-benghazi/?singlepage=true

Syrian Knowns and Unknowns

By Victor Davis Hanson
1) Red lines. Does anyone believe we would be on the eve of a war with Syria had not Barack Obama on two occasions — echoed on two others by Secretary of State Hillary Clinton — warned Bashar Assad of red lines surrounding the use of WMD?

Take those empty threats away, and one of two things would have more likely happened. First, there might not have been use of WMD, given no need to test or humiliate a perceived weak Obama. Or we would still be arguing over who actually used them. Not long ago, Senators Obama and Kerry would have lambasted the present impending intervention as a rush to war for the restoration of a president’s ill-advised forfeiture of credibility.

Fairly or not, the war is now seen as one to save the credibility of Obama’s pontification and Kerry’s sermonizing.

2) Authorizations. To go to war, a president usually seeks at least one of four requisites: authorizations from both houses of Congress, clear public support for action, plenty of allies, and cover from the UN in the form or a resolution or at least long discussion. Obama had obtained none of the four — despite arguing in the past that all four were necessary to do precisely what he is now doing.


Why do the American people, the Congress, our allies, and the proverbial “international community” on this rare occasion unite in not seeing the logic of Obama’s war?

The Military. Should not the chairman of the Joint Chiefs be an architect of the intervention? Yet Chairman Dempsey has made an astounding array of disturbing statements on Syria: “I think intervening in Syria would be very difficult. …  And I think that the current path of trying to gain some kind of international consensus is the proper path, rather than take a decision to do anything unilaterally.”

His concerns about the task are thematic in everything he says: “The U.S. military has the capability to defeat that system, but it would be a greater challenge, and would take longer and require more resources. … The air defense picture in Libya is dramatically different than it is in Syria. … Syria has five times more air defense systems, some of which are high-end systems.” And he warned, “This is about a 10-year issue, and if we fail to think about it as a 10-year regional issue, we could make some mistakes.” He summed up, “We have learned from the past 10 years, however, that it is not enough to simply alter the balance of military power without careful consideration of what is necessary in order to preserve a functioning state. … We must anticipate and be prepared for the unintended consequences of our action. … Syria today is not about choosing between two sides but rather about choosing one among many sides.”

I cannot recall, on the eve of war, the nation’s top military officer so pessimistic about the chance of achieving anything significant.

If our top commander seems dubious, who then is going to lead us unabashedly to victory?

3) The Middle East is the Middle East. Syria reminds us of the Middle East paradoxes:

A) We don’t like either pro-American (e.g., Mubarak) or anti-American (e.g., Gaddafi) dictators.

B) We don’t like populist Islamic theocrats (e.g., the Iranian theocrats, Muslim Brotherhood, Hamas).

C) We don’t like chaos and rule by militias (e.g., Sudan, Somalia, Libya).

D) We accept but do not promote monarchs (e.g., Jordan and the Gulf sheikdoms).

So we keep hoping for a fifth way of pro-American “reformers” that come to power through elections (like a partisan Maliki or corrupt Karzai). But to achieve choice E, we must invade, overthrow tyrants, occupy the country, force reforms and protect the weak legitimate government — something we are doing in Afghanistan and did in Iraq, but apparently never wish to do again.

So what are we doing in Syria — given that bombing may lead to chaos or help al-Qaeda, but not empower pro-Western reformers enough to grasp power, hold elections, and institutionalize legitimate consensual elections?

Does anyone believe that the insurgents are mostly pro-Western reformers, will come to power by our bombing Assad, and will form a legitimate consensual government that appreciates American help?

4) Iraq? Syria, the administration promises us, is not Iraq. Yes, in terms of blood and treasure it probably will not be as deadly as Afghanistan or Iraq. But the latter two were more costly than Libya because the aims were so much more sweeping — the creation of constitutional systems, not just the destruction of tyranny and a laissez-faire attitude about the very bad things that follow our bombing and killing. I wish there were a third way, but so far those are the two stark bad choices.

Tomahawks and Hellfires might even remove Assad, but they most assuredly will not lead to even mediocrities like Karzai and Maliki, warts and all, but rather to something like … who knows what? (See the choices below.)

Second, Bush went into Iraq on four premises:

One, he had over 70% public support after a year of discussions and debates. Two, he had overwhelming congressional support, so much so that the 23 writs that were passed went beyond even his own casus belli. Three, he labored (in vain) at the United Nations. Four, he had 40 allies in his coalition of the willing.

All that effort was because Bush had an aim (removal of Saddam Hussein), a methodology (invade and occupy the country in a way we did not in 1991 or during the 12 years of no-fly-zones), and a desired result (some sort of consensual government, or something like the status of the Maliki government when Bush left office in January 2009). You can call it stupid, but there was an “it” to call stupid. There is no such entity in relation to Syria.

Most Americans supported the Iraq war until the insurgency in 2004 made the implementation of the strategy too costly. Then only a few of us believed that far worse than fighting an unpopular war were the consequences of losing an unpopular war we were in.

Promising not another Iraq (or for that matter Afghanistan and Libya) is no substitute for explaining the objective, the means, and the desired result.


5) Politics. There are five groups weighing in on the Syrian war.

First, there are the genuine anti-war liberal Democrats who believe that war, unless we are attacked, is never an answer. Even though Obama is one of them, they (most of the liberal Congress, The Nation, academics, etc.) will oppose all U.S. interventions — even his.

Second are the libertarians and paleocons. They too oppose most U.S. interventions, often on grounds that they rarely serve U.S. interests, enlarge the state, and created imperial responsibilities antithetical to our republican roots. They (The American Conservative, Reason, Rand Paul, etc.) would oppose Syria if a Republican advocated it.

Third are the mainstream Democrats. They mostly oppose all conservative-inspired U.S. interventions, though not always, at least not always at first. They almost never oppose an intervention orchestrated by a Democratic president. They (Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, New York Times, Washington Post, etc.) see any defection from a Democrat-inspired war as injurious to a wider Democratic domestic agenda.

Fourth are Republican establishment figures and neocons, who accept the tragic role of the U.S. as an enforcer of the postwar world. They yearn for the old days of bipartisan interventions to spread democracy and American power and culture, and believe that a Syrian or Libyan bombing against tyrants is both ethical and humane — and enhances U.S. stature, They (John Boehner, Weekly Standard, National Review, Commentary, Wall Street Journal, etc.) deemed it is as important when in the minority to support the opposition-led intervention as it is when in the majority that the opposition should support them.

Fifth are independents, conservative Democrats, and unpredictable Republicans who believe that each intervention depends on the circumstances, the likely outcomes, and, especially, the people in charge. In this case, Obama’s Syria makes no sense at all to these group (a hodgepodge crew from the last three categories).

Unfortunately for the president, groups one, two, and five vastly outnumber groups three and four.
In the president’s favor, he at last achieved his previously disingenuous goal of bipartisanship: a majority of Republicans and Democrats, liberals and conservatives, really do oppose him.

6) Outcomes. There are endless outcome scenarios. Let us list just a few of  them:

a) Assad is killed or flees; chaos erupts: Somalia, Sudan.

b) Assad is killed or flees; Islamists seize power: Hezbollah, Hamas, Iran .

c) Assad is killed or flees, militias ruin the country: Libya.

d) Assad sticks it out and wins: Syria reverts to a worse form of pre-2011.

e) Assad and the insurgents keep endlessly fighting: Afghanistan.

f) Assad is killed or flees; moderates take over: a temporary version of Iraq

g) Russia intervenes with supplies and a no-fly zone: who knows?

h) Hezbollah attacks U.S. interests: Obama does what?

i)  Iran sends missiles and terrorists at U.S. assets: Obama does what?

j)  Assad and Hezbollah launch their missiles at Israel: Israel responds.

k) Assad comes to the peace table and agrees to an international brokered settlement.

l)  Assad is killed or flees, and the UN and “international community” occupy the country.

I believe that the few good scenarios are improbable and the far more bad ones far more likely.


None of us like Bashar Assad. His demise would in theory weaken our enemies like Iran and Hezbollah and be a proper punishment for decades of Assad regime murdering and slaughter. But I don’t how this administration, at this particular time, and with its changing rationales, has the knowledge to make Syria a more pro-American or better place, the savvy to win Congress, the American people, and allies to its cause, or the competency and will to carry out its own plans. Rethinking the intervention, and trying something different than bombing because of ill-advised Obama red lines is the more sober and ethical course.

http://pjmedia.com/victordavishanson/syrian-knowns-and-unknowns/?singlepage=true

Five Things Politico Didn't Tell You In 'Dove' Attack Against GOP

Politico, one of President Obama's strongest allies in the mainstream media, tore into Republicans Monday for not supporting the president's unilateral war against Syria. The left-wing outlet not only accused the GOP of turning "dovish," but cherry-picked 2002 Iraq quotes from Republican lawmakers as a way to declare them politically-motivated hypocrites on Syria. 

Politico does pay a little lip service to Republican concerns about Obama's lack of an international coalition and how we learned through Afghanistan and Iraq that nothing is easy in the Middle East. But as is usually the case when Politico is flaking for Obama, the main thrust of the article is, to be blunt, an audacious lie -- a lie of omission in what Politico chose not to tell its readers. 

Politico mainly wants its readers to believe that…

…politics is also unquestionably at play. The GOP’s resistance has to do not just with the proposed mission but who’s leading the charge. Having Obama making the case instead of Bush, makes a difference.
The main concerns those of us on the right have about Obama's Syrian adventure, however, are completely ignored by Politico. So since Politico is refusing to lay them out, here they are:

1. Obama's Middle East Foreign Policy Has Been a Disaster
Like they have with Vietnam, the left and their media allies will never stop demeaning the war in Iraq to ensure it goes down in history as an unmitigated military debacle. This is why left-wing outlets like Politico continue to blame Iraq for any opposition to Obama's unilateral war against Syria when the truth is much more inconvenient to Obama's fans at Politico.  

The truth is that after nearly five years as commander-in-chief, Obama has only proved himself an incompetent when it comes to foreign policy. Everything he has touched in the Middle East has gone to hell. Obama completely bungled Egypt and Libya, and now both countries have imploded into sectarian disaster-areas, and breeding grounds for al Qaeda and their various franchises.

Meanwhile, while Obama was backing the wrong people in Libya and Egypt, he let an opposition movement America could do business with in Iran swing in the wind. 

Republicans, Independents, and sensible Democrats simply have no confidence in President Obama's competence when it comes to foreign policy matters -- much less a unilateral war.

2. Obama's Mishandling and Dishonesty About Benghazi
 Despite repeated pleas, the president and his administration not only lacked the competence and concern to provide our diplomatic mission in Benghazi, Libya, with the necessary security against a growing threat, they also spent two weeks lying about what really happened after four American died due to administration incompetence. 

Incompetency mixed with dishonesty are not the character traits of a president you want to back in his unilateral wars.

3. Obama Administration Bungled Argument for War with Syria
From David Axelrod's hyper-political tweet on August 31 to Secretary of State John Kerry's "unbelievably small" comment today, nothing the Obama Administration has done to make the case for unilateral war has inspired confidence in their competence. If you have ever wondered how the Keystone Cops might handle politics, all you need do is rerun the actions of the Obama administration over the past ten days. 

Contradictions, outright falsehoods, overselling (to say the least), mixed messaging… If the White House can't mobilize a smart, unified argument for war, how can anyone expect them to handle the actual war any better?

4. Obama Has Not Made a Case For a Positive Outcome
A chemical weapons attack is horrific, and one against innocent women and children is an abomination. No one doubts that Assad is a monster who did a monstrous thing. 

But that is not enough of a rationale to launch a unilateral war. 

What Obama and The Gang Who Can't Shoot Straight cannot explain is what good will come out of military action. 

Say what you want about Afghanistan and Iraq, something Bush did very well was to explain how the world and America would be better off with regime change. This is why he was able to do what Obama cannot -- patiently build an international coalition and backing from the United Nations. 

All we are getting from the Obama administration is "chemical weapons are evil." But from what we have so far heard, the administration has absolutely no goal or plan they can articulate that explains how Syria, the Middle East, and America will be better off after Obama goes to war. 

Without a clear goal with an improved outcome in mind, the administration's talk about "American credibility" and "deterrence" is just that -- talk. Because both will be damaged if military action is feckless or bungled.  

5. This Really Is Obama's Red Line
Because of items 1 through 4 above (especially 4), Obama currently looks like a hapless president who went off-teleprompter with his "red line" comment and now has to save face in front of the world by launching a unilateral war. 

The treaty against the use of chemical weapons (that Syria did not sign) has no red line that requires military action should the treaty be violated. 

That was President Obama's  red line. 

Period. 

That red line is wholly owned by Obama and Obama alone. And until the president can articulate what good will come out of his unilateral war, the war itself and the torturous exercise in attempting to gain congressional cover, all looks like a face-saving attempt by an inarticulate, incompetent president who should've listened to his teleprompter.
 
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Journalism/2013/09/09/five-things-politico-didnt-tell-you-in-dove-attack-against-gop

Obama's Successful Foreign Failure

The president may look incompetent on Syria. But his behavior fits his strategy to weaken America abroad.

It is entirely understandable that Barack Obama's way of dealing with Syria in recent weeks should have elicited responses ranging from puzzlement to disgust. Even members of his own party are despairingly echoing in private the public denunciations of him as "incompetent," "bungling," "feckless," "amateurish" and "in over his head" coming from his political opponents on the right. 

For how else to characterize a president who declares war against what he calls a great evil demanding immediate extirpation and in the next breath announces that he will postpone taking action for at least 10 days—and then goes off to play golf before embarking on a trip to another part of the world? As if this were not enough, he also assures the perpetrator of that great evil that the military action he will eventually take will last a very short time and will do hardly any damage. Unless, that is, he fails to get the unnecessary permission he has sought from Congress, in which case (according to an indiscreet member of his own staff) he might not take any military action after all. 

Summing up the net effect of all this, as astute a foreign observer as Conrad Black can flatly say that, "Not since the disintegration of the Soviet Union in 1991, and before that the fall of France in 1940, has there been so swift an erosion of the world influence of a Great Power as we are witnessing with the United States."

Yet if this is indeed the pass to which Mr. Obama has led us—and I think it is—let me suggest that it signifies not how incompetent and amateurish the president is, but how skillful. His foreign policy, far from a dismal failure, is a brilliant success as measured by what he intended all along to accomplish. The accomplishment would not have been possible if the intention had been too obvious. The skill lies in how effectively he has used rhetorical tricks to disguise it.

The key to understanding what Mr. Obama has pulled off is the astonishing statement he made in the week before being elected president: "We are five days away from fundamentally transforming the United States of America." To those of us who took this declaration seriously, it meant that Mr. Obama really was the left-wing radical he seemed to be, given his associations with the likes of the anti-American preacher Jeremiah Wright and the unrepentant terrorist Bill Ayers, not to mention the intellectual influence over him of Saul Alinsky, the original "community organizer."

So far as domestic affairs were concerned, it soon became clear—even to some of those who had persuaded themselves that Mr. Obama was a moderate and a pragmatist—that the fundamental transformation he had in mind was to turn this country into as close a replica of the social-democratic countries of Europe as the constraints of our political system allowed. 

Since he had enough support for the policies that this objective entailed, those constraints were fairly loose, and so he only needed a minimum of rhetorical deception in pursuing it. All it took was to deny he was doing what he was doing by frequently singing the praises of the free-enterprise system he was assiduously working to undermine, by avoiding the word "socialism," by invoking "fairness" as an overriding ideal and by playing on resentment of the "rich." 

But foreign policy was another matter. As a left-wing radical, Mr. Obama believed that the United States had almost always been a retrograde and destructive force in world affairs. Accordingly, the fundamental transformation he wished to achieve here was to reduce the country's power and influence. And just as he had to fend off the still-toxic socialist label at home, so he had to take care not to be stuck with the equally toxic "isolationist" label abroad. 

This he did by camouflaging his retreats from the responsibilities bred by foreign entanglements as a new form of "engagement." At the same time, he relied on the war-weariness of the American people and the rise of isolationist sentiment (which, to be sure, dared not speak its name) on the left and right to get away with drastic cuts in the defense budget, with exiting entirely from Iraq and Afghanistan, and with "leading from behind" or using drones instead of troops whenever he was politically forced into military action.

The consequent erosion of American power was going very nicely when the unfortunately named Arab Spring presented the president with several juicy opportunities to speed up the process. First in Egypt, his incoherent moves resulted in a complete loss of American influence, and now, thanks to his handling of the Syrian crisis, he is bringing about a greater diminution of American power than he probably envisaged even in his wildest radical dreams.

For this fulfillment of his dearest political wishes, Mr. Obama is evidently willing to pay the price of a sullied reputation. In that sense, he is by his own lights sacrificing himself for what he imagines is the good of the nation of which he is the president, and also to the benefit of the world, of which he loves proclaiming himself a citizen.

The problem for Mr. Obama is that at least since the end of World War II, Americans have taken pride in being No. 1. Unless the American people have been as fundamentally transformed as their country is quickly becoming, America's decline will not sit well. With more than three years in office to go, will Mr. Obama be willing and able to endure the continuing erosion of his popularity that will almost certainly come with the erosion of the country's power and influence?

No doubt he will either deny that anything has gone wrong, or failing that, he will resort to his favorite tactic of blaming others—Congress or the Republicans or Rush Limbaugh. But what is also almost certain is that he will refuse to change course and do the things that will be necessary to restore U.S. power and influence.
And so we can only pray that the hole he will go on digging will not be too deep for his successor to pull us out, as Ronald Reagan managed to do when he followed a president into the White House whom Mr. Obama so uncannily resembles. 

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323595004579062811443943666.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_LEADTop

America the ignorant

Over at The Volokh Conspiracy, Ilya Somin has another great report which follows a recent speech by former Supreme Court Justice Sandra Day O’connor. In it, Her Honor laments the general ignorance of Americans when it comes to critical matters of how their own nation works, and wonders how we’re supposed to govern ourselves out of our problems if we don’t even know the rules of the game we’re playing.
Two-thirds of Americans cannot name a single Supreme Court justice, former Justice Sandra Day O’Connor told the crowd that packed into a Boise State ballroom to hear her Thursday.
About one-third can name the three branches of government. Fewer than one-fifth of high school seniors can explain how citizen participation benefits democracy.
“Less than one-third of eighth-graders can identify the historical purpose of the Declaration of Independence, and it’s right there in the name,” she said.
O’Connor touted civics education during her keynote address at the “Transforming America: Women and Leadership in the 21st Century” conference, put on by the Andrus Center for Public Policy. She also described being a female lawyer in the 1950s, and challenged her listeners to help the next generation of leaders reach their goals….
“The more I read and the more I listen, the more apparent it is that our society suffers from an alarming degree of public ignorance,” O’Connor said.
I’m not sure which of the many historical surveys O’Connor was relying on for her numbers, but they certainly sound about right. One of the frequently depressing things you encounter when writing about politics and government, or talking to the sorts of people who read about it on a daily basis, is the false impression you form that everyone knows this stuff. Those of you who read Hot Air or any of the other many political sites each day also watch the news and debate issues of the day with each other. You’re forced to collect information to defend your views and are exposed to the ideas of others with different opinions. But I’m sorry to report that you are in a shockingly tiny minority.

Earlier this year, Richard Winchester, writing at The American Thinker, noted some very recent studies which should trouble you.
It doesn’t take much effort to describe the typical citizen’s political ignorance. The Pew Research Center for The People & The Press, for example, has plumbed random samples of the public’s public affairs knowledge about twice a year since 2007. The questions have varied in substance and format, but the results have been uniformly dismal. The average correct score is usually just above 50% which, if judged by the usual academic standard –90+% = A, 80-89% = B, 70-79% = C, 60-69% = D, <60 be="" br="" f.="" f="" would="">
Since people who cannot be contacted or refuse to take part in polls are more politically ignorant than those who do, these are generous estimates of the public’s political knowledge. It’s estimated that 25% to 33% or more of the adult populace is “missing in action” when poll results are reported. Were these people’s ignorance added to poll results, pollsters tell us that the public’s grade would be F-.
The questions being asked in some of these polls were not rocket surgery. In one of them, more than 60% of respondents did not know how many justices were on the Supreme Court. Roughly 30% didn’t know who the Vice President was, and that’s a problem no matter what you think of Joe Biden. But how do we address that, if it’s even possible? Should we be pushing for more civics instruction in the public education system? That might be nice, but how to square it with the need for students to concentrate more in math, science and engineering disciplines needed to compete in the modern job market? You can’t cover everything.
More from Somin:
That is not to suggest that we should simply give up on efforts to increase political knowledge. It may be possible to increase it at the margin by improving education, or by other means. But we should combine such reforms with efforts to shrink and decentralize government, so that we can make more of our decisions by “voting with our feet,” and fewer at the ballot box. Foot voters have stronger incentives to acquire relevant information and evaluate it rationally than ballot box voters do.
Uninformed people are not somebody else’s problem and the issues they cause are not only visited upon their own house. Uninformed people frequently show up to vote. They pick up the phone and give answers to pollsters which politicians then react to. Heck, they even drive cars. And as near as I can tell, it’s a problem which is completely out of reach of any solution. 

http://hotair.com/archives/2013/09/07/america-the-ignorant/ 

Suckers!

I’m thinking of carrying Wall Street Journal economic writer Stephen Moore’s latest column in my pocket. Then when leftists tell me about “equality,” and “income disparity,” I can take it out, roll it up, and beat them across the nose with it shouting, “What did you do? What did you do?” Asking them to read it would probably be a waste of time.

The point of the piece is that “those who were most likely to vote for Barack Obama in 2012 were members of demographic groups most likely to have suffered the steepest income declines,” since he took office.

 Which is to say that young people, single women, those with only a high school diploma or less, blacks and Hispanics have all gotten the business end of the O shaft.

Steve writes with great clarity so there’s no point in my rephrasing him. Read this:
According to the Sentier research, households headed by single women, with and without children present, saw their incomes fall by roughly 7%. Those under age 25 experienced an income decline of 9.6%. Black heads of households saw their income tumble by 10.9%, while Hispanic heads-of-households’ income fell 4.5%, slightly more than the national average. The incomes of workers with a high-school diploma or less fell by about 8% (-6.9% for those with less than a high-school diploma and -9.3% for those with only a high-school diploma).
To put that into dollar terms, in the four years between the time the Obama recovery began in June 2009 and June of this year, median black household income fell by just over $4,000, Hispanic households lost $2,000 and female-headed households lost $2,300.
The unemployment numbers show pretty much the same pattern. July’s Bureau of Labor Statistics data (the most recent available) show a national unemployment rate of 7.4%. The highest jobless rates by far are for key components of the Obama voter bloc: blacks (12.6%), Hispanics (9.4%), those with less than a high-school diploma (11%) and teens (23.7%).
This is a stunning reversal of the progress for these groups during the expansions of the 1980s and 1990s, and even through the start of the 2008 recession. Census data reveal that from 1981-2008 the biggest income gains were for black women, 81%; followed by white women, 67%; followed by black men, 31%; and white males at 8%.
In other words, the gender and racial income gaps shrank by more than in any period in American history during the Reagan boom of the 1980s and the Clinton boom of the 1990s. Women and blacks continued to make economic progress during the mini-Bush expansion from 2002-07. “Income inequality” has been exacerbated during the Obama era.
The whole gobsmacking thing is here.

People like me tend to make esoteric arguments for the free market — private property is the basis of freedom, equality is the trait of slaves and so on. But it is also true that, with light, smart regulation, free markets work better than anything else. For those blacks, Hispanics, young people and single women who were convinced otherwise? Wakey-wakey, sweethearts. You’ve been had.

http://pjmedia.com/andrewklavan/2013/09/06/suckers/

Global warming cleverly hides itself with 1 million sq miles more arctic ice

The science is settled unsettling. Comedian Lewis Black said it best on his White Album when he asked, “Do you know what Meteorologist means in English? It means liar.” It seems that we now have more science to settle atop the mountains of previous science which all purports to prove one thing or another. You can decide on the reasons for yourself, but the arctic ice sheet is back with a vengeance.
A chilly Arctic summer has left nearly a million more square miles of ocean covered with ice than at the same time last year – an increase of 60 per cent.
The rebound from 2012’s record low comes six years after the BBC reported that global warming would leave the Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013.
Instead, days before the annual autumn re-freeze is due to begin, an unbroken ice sheet more than half the size of Europe already stretches from the Canadian islands to Russia’s northern shores.
Good news for polar bears, if nothing else. But talks of a clear Northwest Passage seem to have fallen by the wayside. In fact, a few people who were counting on it rather heavily are left sort of… stuck.
Only six years ago, the BBC reported that the Arctic would be ice-free in summer by 2013, citing a scientist in the US who claimed this was a ‘conservative’ forecast. Perhaps it was their confidence that led more than 20 yachts to try to sail the Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific this summer. As of last week, all these vessels were stuck in the ice, some at the eastern end of the passage in Prince Regent Inlet, others further west at Cape Bathurst.
Shipping experts said the only way these vessels were likely to be freed was by the icebreakers of the Canadian coastguard. According to the official Canadian government website, the Northwest Passage has remained ice-bound and impassable all summer.
Some of the analysts currently scratching their heads over how the planet stubbornly refuses to do what they insist it must are apparently now reflecting on some much older data. Reports are available which indicate a massive melting of the arctic ice sheet in the 1920′s and 30′s, long before the era of global climate studies. But then, it crashed into another period of increased freezing and expansion. The current photo has a few of them wondering if we might be in danger of heading into another ice age, which would be disastrous for mankind.

MoS2 Template Master

This just in from Jeff Dunetz.
Today’s UK Daily Mail gives more evidence that would have made my mother, of blessed memory issue a major Jewish Mother Sweater Alert because the Arctic Ice cap grew by 60% this past year and more scientists are warning of the coming ice age.

http://hotair.com/archives/2013/09/08/global-warming-cleverly-hides-itself-with-1-million-sq-miles-more-arctic-ice

Clinton. Christie. Cringe.

By George F Will
On Jan. 20, 1981, Michael Deaver, a political aide, peered into a bedroom in Blair House, across from the White House, and said to the man still abed, “It’s 8 o’clock. You’re going to be inaugurated as president in a few hours.” From beneath the blankets, Ronald Reagan said, “Do I have to?”

Some are so eager to be inaugurated in 2017 that the 2016 campaign has begun 28 months before the 1.4 percent of Americans who live in Iowa and New Hampshire express themselves. It is, therefore, not too soon to get a head start on being dismayed. Consider two probable candidates. 

Hillary Clinton comes among us trailing clouds of incense, so some acolytes will call it ill-mannered, even misogynistic, to ask: What exactly is it about the condition of the world, and about America’s relations with other nations, that recommends the former secretary of state for an even more elevated office? 

Granted, neither she nor any other U.S. official can be blamed for the world’s blemishes. To think otherwise is to embrace what Greg Weiner, an Assumption College political scientist, calls “narcissistic polity disorder.” It is the belief that everything everywhere is about us. Today, it is the delusion that, although events in Egypt and Syria look like violent clashes between Egyptians and Syrians concerning what those countries should be, the events really are mostly about what America has or has not done. 

That said, however, this also should be said: Clinton’s accomplishments are not less impressive than those of many who have sought, and some who have won, the presidency. But the disproportion between the thinness of her record and the ardor of her advocates suggests that her gender is much of her significance. 

That contemporary feminism is thin gruel is apparent in the fact that it has found its incarnation in a woman who married her way to the upper reaches of American politics. There her wandering husband rewarded her remarkable loyalty by allowing her the injurious opportunity to produce a health-care proposal so implausible that a Democratic-controlled Congress (56 to 44 in the Senate, 256 to 178 in the House) would not bring it to a vote. Still, the world’s oldest political party might not allow a contest to mar the reverent awarding to her of its next nomination. 

Republicans seem destined not for a staid coronation but for an invigorating brawl, and brawling is Chris Christie’s forte, even his hobby. Americans sometimes vote for the opposite of what has disappointed or wearied them, so they might want to replace Barack Obama, who is elegant but hesitant, with someone who is conspicuously neither. Christie, who is evidently cruising to gubernatorial reelection in blue New Jersey, can then say:

“Eighteen states and the District of Columbia, with 242 electoral votes, have gone Democratic in six consecutive elections. Unless the Republican nominee breaks this ‘blue wall,’ the Democratic nominee will spend autumn 2016 seeking 28 electoral votes and will find them. My brand of politics is entertaining and, perhaps for that reason, effective with people who considered Mitt Romney robotic.”

There can, however, come a point at which the way a politician acts becomes an act, a revival of vaudeville, and a caricature discordant with the demands of the highest offices. Christie, appearing recently on a sports talk radio program, erupted like Vesuvius when asked about a New York sportswriter who had criticized Christie’s friend Rex Ryan, coach of the New York Jets:

“Idiot. The guy’s a complete idiot. Self-consumed, underpaid reporter. . . . The only reason he’s empowered is because we’re spending all this time this morning talking about Manish Mehta, who, by the way, I couldn’t pick out of a lineup, and no Jet fan really gives a damn about Manish Mehta.”

Mehta’s tabloid, the Daily News, filled a page with the words, “Who you calling an idiot, fatso!” Great fun. But who wants to call the person “Mr. President” who calls a sportswriter an “idiot”? 

Americans want presidents to understand and connect with ordinary people, but not to be ordinary. Because presidents are incessantly on view in Americans’ living rooms, decorum is preferable to drama. Americans want presidential toughness, which Christie has demonstrated admirably in confrontations with government employees’ unions. But because he has demonstrated it abundantly, he does not need to advertise it gratuitously. 

He should heed another politician who had a flair for fighting. “Being powerful,” Margaret Thatcher said, “is like being a lady. If you have to tell people you are, you aren’t.” 

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/george-will-clinton-christie-promise-2016-follies/2013/09/06/d440b3d6-1660-11e3-804b-d3a1a3a18f2c_story.html

The Right Medicine

Despite Democratic claims to the contrary, conservatives have their own plans for reforming health care

Conservatives have a wealth of policy ideas about reforming healthcare but have failed to unite around any specific policy proposal, according to multiple healthcare experts who rejected claims from Democrats that the GOP has no substantial alternatives to Obamacare and is seeking to do nothing but delay and obstruct.

Lanhee Chen, policy director for Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign, voiced frustration with the GOP for failing to cohere around a single reform strategy.

“I feel very strongly that Republicans have to be able to articulate an alternative to Obamacare,” said Chen. “I don’t think it’s enough for us to say Obamacare stinks and we don’t like it. I think everybody gets that.”

Avik Roy, a healthcare expert at the Manhattan Institute, concurred that this has been a problem.

“It hasn’t been a policy priority for conservatives,” Roy said.

Several Republican legislators have taken on the challenge of introducing actual legislation since Obamacare has become the law.

Rep. Tom Price (Ga.) reintroduced his “Empowering Patients First Act” this year, while the Republican Study Committee will release its own legislation as Congress comes back from the August recess, although details have been kept tightly under wraps.

Both of these proposals begin by replacing Obamacare.

“It sets up an alternative, a positive alternative,” said Price. He touted his reform as the “most comprehensive” alternative to Obamacare.

Price’s bill sets up a tax credit to help low-income individuals buy health insurance. It also helps people keep their insurance when they move across state lines, reforms the legal system to reduce doctors’ malpractice liability, and expands the use of Health Savings Accounts (HSAs), which are untaxed savings accounts people can use for their health costs.

Price’s bill also addresses the problem of preexisting conditions by allowing people to pool together to buy insurance. “It would solve overnight the problem,” he said.

Price’s plan “dramatically expands the utility of HSAs,” which increase the ability of people to save their own money, Roy said. But expanding a realm of untaxed saving is effectively a tax cut. “You have to pay for that somehow,” Roy said.

While Price’s bill reforms much of the healthcare system, two areas that go unaddressed comprehensively are the tax code’s treatment of health insurance and entitlements, especially Medicare and Medicaid.

All healthcare experts interviewed by the Washington Free Beacon said the first place to start in reforming America’s healthcare system is by reforming the tax code.

Currently health insurance provided by an employer is an untaxed benefit, meaning that there is a tremendous advantage to getting health insurance through work rather than on the individual market.

“The present system penalizes those who buy health insurance on their own,” said Chen. The current system makes it harder to jump between jobs, creating “job lock.”

Medicare is also in desperate need of reform, they said.

“You can’t fix the rest of healthcare without dealing with Medicare,” said Tom Miller, a healthcare expert at the American Enterprise Institute. Medicare pays for so much of total healthcare costs in America that the way that system functions impacts the rest of the healthcare system.

The various proposals all seek to give individuals control over their insurance, increasing competition among private insurance companies for people’s business. This competition would then drive down costs.

“I think competition does work,” said James Capretta, a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. He pointed to the success of Medicare Part D as evidence for the efficacy of competition.

Part D requires seniors to pick a private supplemental insurance plan to cover prescription drugs and this competition has kept premiums well below the expected levels.

However, while there is agreement on reforming the tax code and improving competition, further ideas for reform diverge.

The libertarian proposal is to give people a tax break for putting their money into HSAs. This change would replicate the current tax break but give individuals control over their own money, said Michael Tanner, a healthcare expert at the libertarian Cato Institute.

Tanner would also change Medicare into a system more like Social Security, where the elderly would simply get a check and be trusted to buy their own health insurance. He would additionally move toward granting Medicaid money to the states in a block so they have total control over how to use the dollars.

Capretta and Robert Moffit, a healthcare expert at the Heritage Foundation, together wrote an article for National Affairs in which they outlined a different proposal for reforming the healthcare system.

Their plan involves giving every American a tax credit with which to buy health insurance and eliminating the preference for employer-sponsored health insurance. They would also give seniors on Medicare financial help so they can buy health insurance on the private market, and require states to set up a kind of information center where people can go to find information on health insurance.

“The key to building a competitive program is that concept: a fixed, defined contribution [from the government] that provides a good level of support but the beneficiary has to be cost conscious on the margins,” Capretta said, describing what is often called “premium support.”

Capretta and Moffit solve the dilemma of people with pre-existing conditions by tying legal benefits to continuous insurance coverage. As long as you maintain insurance coverage, you cannot see your rates run up because of a pre-existing condition under their plan.

This plan, Capretta contends, is close to a universal coverage plan, because the tax credit would completely pay for at least some health insurance plans. The coverage is further enhanced by an auto-enrollment feature, where individuals are automatically enrolled in a private plan where the tax credit fully covers the cost.

Capretta’s plan mirrors in many ways the plan that Rep. Paul Ryan (R., Wis.), Rep. Devin Nunes (R., Calif.), Sen. Tom Coburn (R., Okla.), and Sen. Richard Burr (R., N.C.) offered in 2009, “The Patients’ Choice Act.” Ryan’s plan moves toward a premium-support model for Medicare and has an automatic enrollment feature.

Capretta acknowledged that parts of his plan, especially the exchanges, mirror parts of Obamacare. But he contended that his plan prioritizes individual responsibility and market competition over mandates and central control from Washington and state capitals.

In theory, Obamacare’s exchanges are a conservative idea in that they try to harness market competition to drive down prices, Roy said.

However, in practice, “the Obamacare exchanges are heavily regulated, and that as a result doesn’t make the plans as affordable as they ought to be,” Roy said.

Roy argued that some parts of Obamacare, like the exchanges and the tax on comprehensive “Cadillac” insurance plans, can be leveraged to achieve the conservative vision for healthcare reform—all without actually repealing Obamacare.

“We’re likely to be stuck with it,” Roy said. “Repeal is unlikely to happen.”

Roy wants to strengthen the good parts of Obamacare while whittling off the bad parts, what he calls the “Obamacare jiu-jitsu” approach.

“The Paul Ryan plan for Medicare is very similar to the Obamacare exchanges,” Roy said.

While there are several approaches to improving America’s healthcare system, Miller said there is room for other ideas as well.

“We need to think about how we improve health at the front end stage,” he said. Focusing on early education and responsibility as well as thinking about ways to connect families and communities to people’s health could help reduce healthcare costs by making people healthier.

“We have this narrow mindset of what are the only levers we can pull,” Miller said.

http://freebeacon.com/the-right-medicine/

Rebutting Retroactive Racism

I intend to see 12 Years a Slave; it sounds like a very good movie. But I was somewhat daunted by the discordant note struck at its debut in Toronto:
Toronto festival artistic director Cameron Bailey, who is black, introduced the film by noting its personal significance. "My great, great, great grandparents were involved in plantation slavery," he said. "And chances are, many of your ancestors were involved in it as well ... one way or another." The uncomfortable laughs were the last the audience would have for a while...  [itallics mine]

This, of course, translates as "you whites are all descendants of slave owners and should be ashamed of it." I feel obliged to protest this sort of innuendo by dissecting Mr. Cameron's remark.

First of all, ancestral guilt is nonsense. Going back five hundred years or so, each of us has about a million ancestors. Probably, every one of us has a rotten apple or two among them. However, if one of mine committed a murder in 1625 -- or managed a slave plantation in 1740 -- I refuse to feel the least bit guilty about it and I dismiss Mr. Bailey's remark as gratuitous racist sniping.

But it was also inaccurate. Even if the audience was entirely American, about half of them would have been descendants of post-emancipation immigrants, and therefore free from any taint of slave-trade ancestry. Next, consider the ante bellum ancestors of the remainder. Half of these came from the North and may well have been members of the abolitionist movement or of the million and a half men who fought in the Union army to end slavery. Mr. Bailey owes those ancestors, and their descendants, an apology.

In fact, Mr. Bailey had better check up on his own lineage. Before Americans ever set foot in Africa, native tribes were busily enslaving one another. Moreover, the rounding up of slaves for export to America was a collaboration in which Arabs and tribal chiefs enthusiastically participated. Chances are that Mr. Bailey's ancestors were involved in slavery in more ways than one.

Or perhaps, Mr. Bailey means -- as some black activists imply -- that any white person is accountable for anything any other white person ever did. This is racism in its purest and most concentrated form. If it were true, then I would expect Mr. Bailey to publish an abject apology for the massacres in Rwanda and turn himself in for punishment.

In any case, his remark was mean-spirited and ill advised; perhaps that's why most newspapers ignored it. But I don't think that we should. Considering how black activists have hounded Paula Deen for having once used "the N word", and how they almost cost David Howard his job for using an innocent but similar word, I think we should protest every time that one of them utters anything as nasty and stupid as Mr. Bailey did.
 http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2013/09/rebutting_retroactive_racism.html#ixzz2ePOHP0RY

U.S. Failed to Reduce ‘Food Insecurity’ Despite Spending Billions More

Levels of food insecurity not reduced by a statistically significant amount

Despite a $6 billion increase in food assistance spending, there was no reduction in the number of American households that are “food insecure,” according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA).

The USDA says its food programs “increase food security.” However, the agency’s spending through the Food and Nutrition Service (FNS) increased by $6.4 billion from 2011 to 2012 with no statistically significant change in the level of food insecurity.

“Food and nutrition assistance programs of the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) increase food security by providing low-income households access to food, a healthful diet, and nutrition education,” the USDA said in a report released this week.

By the agency’s own measure the change in food insecurity from 2011 to 2012 was near zero.

According to the USDA, 14.5 percent of households faced food insecurity at least sometime during the year. “The change in food insecurity overall (from 14.9 percent in 2011) was not statistically significant,” they said.
Additionally, the “very low food security” category remained unchanged (5.7 percent) from the previous year, and “food-insecure” children also remained the same (10 percent).

The FNS budget increased by billions in that timeframe.

In 2011, the FNS reported spending $107.5 billion  on its 15 food assistance programs. The 2012 budget estimate showed an increase to $113.9 billion.

The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) makes up the bulk of the FNS budget. The program spent $78.4 billion in 2012, a $2.7 billion increase from the previous year. An average of 46.6 million people were enrolled in the program each month.

Secretary of Agriculture Tom Vilsack said had it not been for food stamps, “food insecurity” would be on the rise.

“Food insecurity remains a very real challenge for millions of Americans,” he said in a statement, Wednesday. “Today’s report underscores the importance of programs such as the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program that have helped keep food insecurity from rising, even during the economic recession.”

Vilsack also urged against cuts to the food stamp budget, which has increased 108 percent since 2008.

Food stamp spending was $37.6 billion in 2008, but jumped to $53.6 billion in 2009. The program has continued to grow each year, reaching $78.4 billion in 2012.

“As the recovery continues and families turn to USDA nutrition programs for help to put good food on the table, this is not the time for cuts to the SNAP program that would disqualify millions of Americans and threaten a rise in food insecurity,” Vilsack said.

The USDA based its findings on an annual Census Bureau survey, which asks 18 questions about a family’s eating habits to figure out if they are “food secure.”

“In concept, ‘food secure’ means that all household members had access at all times to enough food for an active, healthy life,” the agency explains.

One of the survey questions reads: “‘We couldn’t afford to eat balanced meals.’

Was that often, sometimes, or never true for you in the last 12 months?”

Another question asks, “In the last 12 months, did you ever eat less than you felt you should because there wasn’t enough money for food?”

“Very low” food security is defined in the report as “the food intake of one or more household members was reduced and their eating patterns were disrupted at times during the year because the household lacked money and other resources for food.”

http://freebeacon.com/u-s-failed-to-reduce-food-insecurity-despite-spending-billions-more/

Americans Being Forced to Pay for Al Jazeera

Two weeks ago, Al Jazeera America launched, beaming into 48 million homes across the country. The media company that allowed Osama bin Laden to use it as a vehicle to communicate with jihadists around the world is now on your TV screen and you are paying for it. The network pushed its way onto basic cable packages with several providers. If you subscribe to Verizon, Comcast, Dish Network or DirecTV, you are forced to subsidize Al Jazeera's propaganda as part of your cable bill whether you like it or not.

I represent a district about 70 miles north of where the Twin Towers once stood. Thousands of my constituents commute to Manhattan every day.  People from this area perished in the savage attacks of September 11, 2001.  Serviceman from our community made the ultimate sacrifice in Iraq and Afghanistan fighting to prevent another attack.  Four Marines I served with left everything they had on the battlefields of Iraq.  When constituents contacted my office to express outrage that Al Jazeera America is now part of their basic cable package, I took it very seriously.

We should not have to fund Al Jazeera through our cable bills. Americans do not want to pay for their vile propaganda. I'm launching a petition drive calling on cable companies to drop Al Jazeera from their basic cable packages.

Al Jazeera was founded in 1996 by the Emir of Qatar, Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani and is owned by his government.  Some have claimed that Al Jazeera is independent of the dictatorship that runs Qatar.  But the emir's cousin Sheikh Ahmed bin Jassim al-Thani runs the network despite not having a journalism background.

In late 2012 former vice president Al Gore and his partners put their fledgling liberal television network Current TV up for sale.  Gore and company accepted Al Jazeera's offer of a half billion dollars on January 2nd 2013.  A spokesman for Gore's group said they chose Al Jazeera because "Al Jazeera was founded with the same goals we had for Current," which was "to give voice to those whose voices are not typically heard" and "to speak truth to power."

Verizon, Comcast, DirecTV and Dish Network already carry Al Jazeera America, and Al Jazeera has plans to force their way onto more cable bills. Time Warner Cable, which carried Current TV, dropped Al Jazeera America.  AT &T U-Verse was originally going to carry the network but backed out and is now being sued by Al Jazeera for breach of contract.  Cablevision and Cox Communications do not air Al Jazeera America.

My constituents and I are alarmed that as subscribers, we are being forced against our will to pay for a network that is owned by a foreign dictatorship and has a long history of anti-Americanism, anti-Semitism and support for Islamic terror. 

For example, Al Jazeera America has already run a show about closing Guantanamo, painting terrorists as victims and the US as oppressors.  The Arabic Al Jazeera threw a birthday party for terrorist Samir Kuntar, celebrating him as a "pan-Arab hero." Kuntar murdered an Israeli father and his 4-year-old daughter in their home. The Israeli family's mother accidentally suffocated their toddler son as she tried to muffle his cries while hiding from Kuntar. Al Jazeera paid for fireworks to celebrate Kuntar's release from prison. In the days after September 11th, Al Jazeera reported as fact the anti-Semitic lie that Jewish Americans had been told not to come to work at the World Trade Center on 9/11.  CNN reported that a document found in bin Laden's compound following his death referenced a meeting with the Al Jazeera bureau chief in Pakistan.

Al Jazeera's parent dictatorship Qatar does allow the US military to conduct operations within its borders.  However, according to leaked cables and multiple reports, Qatar's record of counter-terrorism efforts was the "worst in the region." According to the New York Times, Qatar is "hesitant to act against known terrorists out of concern for appearing to be aligned with the U.S. and provoking reprisals." Qatar also funds Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood.   

Why should subscribers be forced to purchase a network owned by a foreign government that either appeases or subsidizes Islamic terrorists? 

Some have suggested that Al Jazeera has a right to access American television sets just as the BBC, Fox News and MSNBC.  Nonsense.  Since when does a foreign power have a right to pipe its worldview into American living rooms?  The Fox News Channel haters love to point out that a member of the Saudi royal family is the second largest shareholder of Fox's parent company News Corp. It's troubling, but that is far different than the Islamic dictatorship of Qatar owning 100% of Al Jazeera.

To be clear, this is not a First Amendment issue.   The free press and free speech clauses of First Amendments do not protect foreign powers who wish to broadcast propaganda into our country.  Moreover, at this time my constituents and I are not objecting to the existence of the channel.  We object to Al Jazeera America's inclusion as a basic cable channel that subscribers are forced to pay for and receive rather than as an a la carte channel that can be added to a basic package. In short, we are pro-choice when it comes to Al Jazeera. 

Some say that we should just ignore Al Jazeera America and it will go away as a result of low ratings.  But it is not clear that Al Jazeera America is a profit-making venture for Qatar, which has the second highest GDP in the world and can absorb the losses for years if not decades.  Whereas most cable networks have 12 minutes of commercials per hour, Al Jazeera America has only 6 minutes.  Many, if not most of the ads are promos for the network rather than paid spots.  If indeed Al Jazeera is not about making money, their presence on the basic cable dials is even more disturbing. 

I have written to the four major media companies carrying Al Jazeera America and requested that they drop the notoriously anti-American and anti-Semitic Al Jazeera from their basic cable packages.  Should they refuse to remedy this problem by September 11, 2013, we will begin encouraging subscribers to drop their services. 

Because cable companies are granted regional monopolies by local governments, customers don't necessarily have the option to switch providers.  Consequently, we will also begin working with municipalities to revoke the cable monopolies if they don't make Al Jazeera America optional by the 9/11 anniversary.   

Meanwhile, we have launched this petition to show that Americans do not want to be forced to pay for a propaganda arm of an Islamic dictatorship. Sign the petition and tell TV providers you do not want to be forced to pay for Al Jazeera's foul propaganda.

Federal Appeals Court Hears Case on Internet Regulation

Can the federal government legally control access to the Internet? That’s the question before a top federal appeals court this week. 

On Sept. 9, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia will hear arguments in Verizon v. FCC. At issue is the legality of the Federal Communication Commission’s net-neutrality rules, which regulates Internet traffic and thus asserts government authority to control individual Americans’ access to the Internet.

Net neutrality has been a priority for the Obama administration, and these regulations were enacted only when President Obama’s appointees became a majority of the FCC. The regulations themselves sound innocuous to casual observers, since they speak about Internet Service Providers (ISPs) being required to treat all content equally and not differentiate between certain types of content or certain sources. 

But in order for the FCC to promulgate such rules, the FCC must have legal authority to regulate the Internet. So if these regulations stand, it represents a vast expansion of federal authority over all forms of communication over the Internet (both webpages and email)—authority the government could then exercise in any manner it chooses at any time in the future. 

In 2010, the D.C. Circuit held in Comcast v. FCC that the Communications Act of 1934 did not give the FCC such sweeping authority, concluding that the relevant federal law applied only to radio and TV broadcasts. Thus, the appeals court invalidated the FCC’s order against Comcast that had sparked that lawsuit. Having decided that federal statute did not authorize the agency assert such authority, the court did not need to reach any broader question as to whether such authority would also violate the First Amendment to the Constitution. 

It is possible that the Comcast decision—and a recent follow-up case involving the same issue—could be controlling precedent in Verizon’s lawsuit. A decision is expected by early next year. 

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2013/09/08/Federal-Appeals-Court-Hears-Case-on-Internet-Regulation

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